Texas State vs. Troy - 1/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Troy Trojans (7-9) at Texas State Bobcats (9-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 6, 2018 at 5:30 pm (Strahan Coliseum)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Troy Trojans will travel to Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Troy Trojans dropped to 7-9 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the UT-Arlington Mavericks, 86-76, this past Thursday. Troy struggled containing the Mavericks duo of Erick Neal and Kevin Hervey and couldn’t fight back after trailing by a 40-33 margin at halftime. Troy allowed UT-Arlington to shoot 52.2% from the field and 42.9% (9-21) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was Alex Hicks who had 21 points, 7 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, Troy is averaging 77.5 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 9.4 three-pointers per game on 35.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Troy has been led by Wesley Person (20.9 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.0 spg), Jordon Varnado (17.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.0 apg), Alex Hicks (11.3 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.7 bpg), and Kevin Baker (7.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.9 apg). Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 74.7 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -1.2 and a turnover margin of -0.2.
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The Texas State Bobcats won their 2nd straight game and improved to 9-7 (2-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 72-69, this past Thursday. Texas State held a 61-48 lead with 8:36 left in regulation and held off a late Jaguars charge to secure the conference victory. Texas State shot 45.2% from the field and outrebounded South Alabama by a 39-29 margin. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Alex Peacock who had 18 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. On the season, Texas State is averaging 69.9 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Bobcats are averaging 5.8 three-pointers per game on 32.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas State has been led by Nijal Pearson (14.4 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.3 spg), Immanuel King (9.8 ppg, 6.2 rpg), Alex Peacock (8.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.3 spg), and Tyler Blount (7.6 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.3 apg). Defensively, Texas State is holding their opponents to an average of 62.9 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Bobcats have a rebound margin of 6.5 and a turnover margin of 0.8.
The Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. Sun Belt opponents however, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Troy has one of the better duos in Wesley Person and Jordon Varnado and has been led by their offense that ranks 116th in scoring offense and 57th in three-pointers made per game. Texas State has won 4 of their last 5 games and has been led by their defense that ranks 19th in scoring defense and 44th in rebound margin. Texas State is 5-1 at home this season and as I think their defense will be able to contain the Trojans offense in this one, I’m taking the Bobcats to cover this small home spread.