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Illinois State vs. Missouri State - 1/7/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Missouri State Bears (13-3) at Illinois State Redbirds (8-7)

College Basketball: Sunday, January 7, 2018 at 2:00 pm (Redbird Arena)

The Line: Illinois State Redbirds +4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


We have some Missouri Valley conference college basketball action on tap Sunday afternoon, as the Missouri State Bears take on the Illinois State Redbirds.

The Missouri State Bears will look to remain unbeaten in conference play and extend their current 4 game winning streak after a 62-55 win over Northern Iowa in their last outing. Alize Johnson was a monster, racking up 24 points and collecting 20 rebounds for the double-double, while also added a pair of blocks. J.T. Miller added 13 points in 19 minutes as the only other Bear to finish in double figures scoring in the win. Obediah Church added 7 rebounds, while Reggie Scurry added a pair of steals with 6 rebounds and Ronnie Rousseau III added a pair of assists. Johnson leads the Bears by averaging a double-double per game this season with 15.1 points and 11.2 rebounds per game, while Jarred Dixon is the team’s leading assist man with 2.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Missouri State is scoring 72 points per game on 45.2% shooting from the field, 34% from behind the arc and 69.7% from the foul line this season.

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Illinois State vs. Missouri State - 1/7/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Illinois State Redbirds will look to bounce back from their first conference loss of the season, an 87-62 setback against Drake, snapping their 4 game win streak. Keyshawn Evans led the team with 13 points on 5 of 9 shooting with 3 triples, while Milik Yarbrough added 11 points with a team-high 7 assists and a pair of blocks as the lone pair of Redbirds to finish in double digits scoring in the loss. Daouda Ndiaye added 8 points with a team-high 7 rebounds and a pair of steals and a pair of blocks, while William Tinsley added 6 rebounds of his own in the losing effort. Evans leads the team in scoring with 18.1 points per game, while Yarbrough leads the team in assists with 4.6 assists per game and Phil Fayne leads the team on the glass with 7 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Illinois State is scoring 74.3 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field, 35.3% from behind the arc and 66.8% from the foul line this season.

Missouri State is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference matchups and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Illinois State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the over is 8-3 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. Missouri State is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

This pick is quite simple in my opinion, even on the road, the Bears are the better team, in better form, and have had the bulk of the success when it comes to the spread in this matchup. Illinois State just isn’t the same team from last season and I expect to see more of that here as the Bears cruise to a road win and cover.

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