Toledo vs. Western Michigan - 1/9/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Western Michigan Broncos (10-5) at Toledo Rockets (9-6)
College Basketball: Tuesday, January 9, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Savage Arena)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Western Michigan Broncos will travel to Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.
The Western Michigan Broncos won their 4th straight game and improved to 10-5 (2-0 MAC-West) on the season after defeating the Miami (OH) Redhawks, 67-62, this past Saturday. Western Michigan struggled in the 1st half and trailed by a 33-27 margin at halftime, however, was outstanding down the stretch in the 2nd half and pulled away after a 14-0 run gave the Broncos a 63-56 lead with just 1:18 left in regulation. Western Michigan held Miami (OH) to 39.7% shooting from the field and 29.6% (8-27) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Broncos was Josh Davis who had a double-double with 10 points and 11 rebounds. On the season, Western Michigan is averaging 76.3 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Broncos are averaging 8.1 three-pointers per game on 36.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Western Michigan has been led by Thomas Wilder (17.7 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.4 apg, 2.1 spg), Josh Davis (10.8 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.4 apg), Bryce Moore (9.9 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.4 spg), and Reggie Jones (9.7 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.7 apg), Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 70.9 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Broncos have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 2.5.
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The Toledo Rockets improved to 9-6 (1-1 MAC-West) on the season after defeating the Akron Zips, 67-65, this past Saturday. Toledo took a commanding 45-31 lead early in the 2nd half and held off a late Zips charge to secure the conference win. Toledo shot 47.8% from the field and 37.5% (9-24) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Rockets was Jaelan Sanford who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, Toledo is averaging 78.5 ppg on 46.4% shooting from the field. The Rockets are averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 39.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Tre’Shaun Fletcher (17.8 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg), Jaelan Sanford (16.5 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 3.4 apg), Nate Navigato (13.3 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Luke Knapke (11.2 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.6 bpg). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to average 77.1 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Rockets have a rebound margin of 1.3 and a turnover margin of -2.3.
The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. MAC opponents. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 however are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
The Western Michigan Broncos have 6 of their last 7 games and are one of the more well-balanced teams in the MAC this season as the Broncos enter this game ranked 137th in scoring offense, T-154th in scoring defense, and 60th in turnover margin. Toledo has won 4 of their last 5 games and although they can struggle on the defensive end as they rank just 286th in scoring defense, the Rockets do know how to score the basketball as they rank T-92nd in scoring offense, 105th in FG%, and 35th in 3P-FG%. Western Michigan has the best player in the MAC in Thomas Wilder and as the Broncos have won their last 4 away games, I think the Broncos do enough with the points to cover in this one. Take Western Michigan and the points.