Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State - 1/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-2) at Florida Gators (11-4)
College Basketball: Wednesday, January 10, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Stephen O'Connell Center)
The Line: Florida Gators -9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN - SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Exactech Arena to take o the Florida Gators this Wednesday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs had their 5-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 13-2 (1-1 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the Ole Miss Rebels, 64-58, this past Saturday. Mississippi State went into halftime with a 34-28 lead, however, was shut down on the offensive end in the 2nd half and let the game slip away after the Rebels finished the last 10:42 on a 25-8 run. Mississippi State shot just 34.9% from the field and 21.7% (5-23) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Aric Holman who had 9 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 blocks. On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 76.7 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 6.9 three-pointers per game on 30.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Mississippi State has been led by Quinndary Weatherspoon (14.3 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg), Aric Holman (12.2 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.3 bpg), Nick Weatherspoon (11.3 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg), and Tyson Carter (10.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.9 apg). Defensively, Mississippi State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.5 ppg on 38.9% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 5.9 and a turnover margin of 1.1.
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The Florida Gators won their 5th straight game and improved to 11-4 (3-0 SEC) on the season after defeating the Missouri Tigers, 77-75, this past Saturday. Florida trailed for most of the 2nd half however, was able to secure the come from behind victory after the Gators, Chris Chiozza, stole the ball from the Tigers and score the game winning lay-up as time expired. Florida shot 44.1% from the field and won the turnover battle by an 11-6 margin. Leading the way for the Gators was Egor Koulechov who had 15 points, 8 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, Florida is averaging 73.4 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Gators are averaging 9.7 three-pointers per game on 39.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Florida has been led by Jalen Hudson (16.9 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.1 apg), Egor Koulechov (15.0 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.7 apg), Chris Chiozza (13.1 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 5.8 apg, 1.9 spg), and KeVaughn Allen (11.1 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.1 spg). Defensively, Florida is allowing their opponents to average 73.4 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Gators have a rebound margin of 0.3 and a turnover margin of 5.4. Chris Chiozza is questionable for this matchup due to an illness and Chase Johnson is currently out indefinitely with a concussion.
The Bulldogs are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss however, are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Mississippi State is coming off a tough loss against instate rival, Ole Miss, however, still has had a nice start to their season and come into this matchup ranked 128th in scoring offense, T-22nd in scoring defense, and 23rd in defensive FG%. Florida has the talent to beat anyone in the country and has an outstanding offense that ranks 36th in scoring offense, 39th in 3P-FG%, and 24th in FT%. Florida has been plagued by inconsistent play this season, however, I like what I’ve seen by the Gators defense as of late and as I think the Bulldogs will have a tough time scoring in this one, I’m taking Florida to cover at home.