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Pittsburgh vs. Duke - 1/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Duke Blue Devils (13-2) at Pittsburgh Panthers (8-8)

College Basketball: Wednesday, January 10, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Petersen Events Center)

The Line: Pittsburgh Panthers +18 -- Over/Under: 153.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

We have some ACC-tion on the college basketball schedule on Wednesday night, as the #7 Duke Blue Devils take on the Pittsburgh Panthers. 

The #7 Duke Blue Devils will try to climb back to .500 in ACC play after falling to 1-2 in conference after a disappointing 96-85 loss to NC State last time out. Marvin Bagley III led the team with 31 points on 11 of 14 shooting with a 9 of 11 mark from the foul line along with 10 rebounds and 4 blocks for the double-double. Trevon Duval came 2nd with 18 points and a team-high 5 assists, while Gary Trent Jr. added 13 points and Wendell Carter Jr. added 11 points to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for the Blue Devils in the loss. Bagley III leads the team by averaging a double-double per game with 22.5 points and 11.5 rebounds per game, while Duval is the team’s leading assist man with 6.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Duke is scoring the 2nd-most points per game in the country with 93.9 points per game while boasting the 6th-best field goal percentage at 51.3% from the field. Duke is also shooting 35.7% from behind the arc and 70.5% from the foul line this season.

Pittsburgh vs. Duke - 1/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Panthers will be looking for their first conference win to snap a 3 game losing streak, including an 81-67 loss to Virginia Tech to fall to 0-3 in conference play. Jared Wilson-Frame led the team with 20 points on 6 of 16 shooting with 4 triples, while Marcus Carr added 14 points on 5 of 12 shooting with 3 threes and 4 assists and Parker Stewart added 4 from downtown to match his 4 assists with 12 points to finish off the trio of double digit scorers for the Panthers in the losing effort. Shamiel Stevenson added 5 points and a team-high 9 rebounds in the loss as well. Wilson-Frame leads the team in scoring with 12.9 points per game, while Stevenson leads the team in rebounding with 5.6 rebounds per game and Carr leads the team in assists with 4 assists per game this season. As a team, Pitt is scoring 67.5 points per game on 43.9% shooting from the field, 33.9% from behind the arc and 70% from the foul line this season.

Duke is 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 conference matchups and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games while the over is 27-9-1 in their last 30 games overall. Pitt is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference matchups and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Duke is 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I never thought I’d say this, but the thought of Duke on the road laying double digits scares me to death, especially after how they performed in their two conference losses this season, both on the road and both as a double-digit favorrite. Pitt is a decent team that has the ability to at the very least hang around with Duke, and with the spread sitting at 18 points at the time that I’m posting this, none of the 5 meetings between Duke and Pitt have been decided by more than 16 points. Duke was a sizeable favourite in their meeting last year and Pitt kept it within single digits and I think they can do the same here at home, so I’ll take a shot with Pitt and the points here.

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