Arizona State vs. Oregon - 1/11/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon Ducks (11-5) at Arizona State Sun Devils (13-2)
College Basketball: Thursday, January 11, 2018 at 10:00 pm (Wells Fargo Arena-AZ)
The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
One of the marquee college basketball matchups on Thursday night comes to us from the Wells Fargo Arena as the Oregon Ducks visit the #11 Arizona State Sun Devils.
The Oregon Ducks will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last 4 games, including a 76-64 loss to Oregon State to fall under .500 in Pac-12 play at 1-2. Paul White led the team with 16 points on 5 of 12 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 5 assists with 6 rebounds, while Victor Bailey Jr. hit 5 of 12 as well for 11 points as the lone pair of Ducks to finish in double figures scoring with each logging a pair of steals as well. Troy Brown pulled down a team-high 8 rebounds, while Payton Pritchard chipped in 9 points for Oregon. Pritchard still leads the Ducks with an average of 15 points and 4.1 assists per game, while Brown is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Oregon is scoring 81.6 points per game on 46.9% shooting from the field, 36.7% from behind the arc and 77% from the foul line this season.
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The #11 Arizona State Sun Devils will look to build some momentum after notching their first conference win of the year in an 80-77 victory at Utah in their last outing. Shannon Evans II hit 5 triples and added 6 rebounds with a pair of blocks to lead the team with 22 points, while Kodi Justice added 20 points on 9 of 15 shooting with a pair of steals. Remy Martin and Tar Holder each added 11 points to round out the quartet of double digit scorers for ASU in the win, with Martin dishing out a team-high 4 assists and Holder leading the team with 7 rebounds. Holder leads the team in scoring with 21.6 points per game, while Romello White leads the team in rebounding with 8.2 rebounds per game and the aforementioned Evans II leads the way in assists with 4.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Arizona State is scoring the 6th-most points per game in the country with 89.3 per game, on 48.3% shooting from the field, 37.8% from behind the arc and 74% from the foul line this season.
Oregon is 36-17 ATS in their last 53 conference matchups and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall while the under is 12-3 in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record. Arizona State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games and 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall while the under is 9-3 in their last 12 conference matchups. Oregon is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two at Arizona State and the road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these two teams.
I know Oregon looked bad against Oregon State and Arizona State appeared to get back on track by beating Utah, but laying double digits against a still solid Oregon team that’s had success against the Sun Devils ATS just doesn’t seem like a good idea. Sure, Arizona State can bury you quickly when the shots are falling, but Oregon can rack up points in a hurry as well and can keep up if this game turns into a track meet. All in all, I think the Ducks can keep this one within single digits so I’ll take the points.