Sacramento State vs. Montana - 1/11/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Montana Grizzlies (11-5) at Sacramento State Hornets (4-12)
College Basketball: Thursday, January 11, 2018 at 10:05 pm (Colberg Court)
The Line: Sacramento State Hornets +10 -- Over/Under: 139 See the Latest Odds
The Montana Grizzlies will travel to The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Montana Grizzlies won their 4th straight game and improved to 11-5 (4-0 Big Sky) on the season after defeating the Northern Colorado Bears, 89-80, this past Saturday. Montana was outstanding on the offensive end throughout the game and pulled away from the Grizzlies after taking a 59-38 lead with 14:16 left in regulation. Montana shot 50.9% from the field and 84.8% (28-33) from the FT-Line. Leading the way for the Grizzlies was Jamar Akoh who had 34 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 blocks. On the season, Montana is averaging 77.4 ppg on 45.7% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies are averaging 5.4 three-pointers per game on 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Montana has been led by Ahmaad Rorie (18.6 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 spg), Jamar Akoh (14.4 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.4 apg), Michael Oguine (14.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg), and Bobby Moorehead (8.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.1 spg). Defensively, Montana is allowing their opponents to average 69.3 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies have a rebound margin of 4.9 and a turnover margin of 3.9.
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The Sacramento State Hornets lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-12 (1-2 Big Sky) on the season after being defeated by the Eastern Washington Eagles, 82-67, this past Saturday. Sacramento State struggled from beyond the arc throughout the game and couldn’t fight back after Eastern Washington took a 64-43 lead midway through the 2nd half. Sacramento State shot 44.1% from the field and 16.7% (3-18) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Hornets was Justin Strings who had 14 points, 8 rebounds, 1 block, and a steal. On the season, Sacramento State is averaging 65.9 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 6.3 three-pointers per game on 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Justin Strings (17.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.3 apg), Jordan Tolbert (10.8 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.8 apg), Joshua Patton (9.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.9 bpg), and Jeff Wu (6.3 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.7 apg). Defensively, Sacramento State is allowing their opponents to average 72.4 ppg on 44.2 shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of -3.8 and a turnover margin of -1.6.
The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. Big Sky opponent and 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
Montana has won 6 of their last 7 games and have been led by their offense this season that ranks 116th in scoring offense and 140th in FG%. Sacramento State has lost 4 of their last 5 games and have really struggled on the offensive end as the Hornets rank 324th in scoring offense, 206th in FG%, and 281st in turnover margin. Montana has been great ATS this season and as they are averaging 91.0 ppg during their 4-game winning streak, I think the Grizzlies will do enough on the road in this one to win by double-digits. Take Montana to cover.