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Troy vs. Arkansas State - 2/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-15) at Troy Trojans (10-13)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 8, 2018 at 8:15 pm (Trojan Arena)

The Line: Troy Trojans -9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Troy Trojans meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Trojan Arena.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves need a win here after splitting their last six games. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 73.6 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 77.4 points on 48.6 percent shooting. Deven Simms is averaging 17.1 points and 5.8 rebounds while Ty Cockfield is averaging 13 points and 2.1 assists. Grantham Gillard is grabbing 4.1 rebounds and Rashad Lindsey is dishing 2.4 assists. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost five of their last eight road games.

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Troy vs. Arkansas State - 2/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Troy Trojans need a victory after losing five of their last eight games. The Troy Trojans are averaging 76 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 73.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Wesley Person is averaging 18.9 points and 1.7 assists while Jordon Varnado is averaging 16.8 points and 5.9 rebounds. Alex Hicks is the third double-digit scorer and B.J. Miller is dishing 2.8 assists. The Troy Trojans are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Troy Trojans are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game. The Troy Trojans have won four of their last six home games.

The Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 Thursday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Trojans are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Sun Belt and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings, the road team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

I have a rule about laying big chalk with teams that struggle to win outright, and the Troy Trojans aren't winning many games these days. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been inconsistent this season as well and have been awful SU on the road this season, but they have covered six of their last eight road games, which is all we care about. Five of Arkansas State's last nine losses have been decided by 10 or less points. I'll take a shot with the Red Wolves and the free buckets.

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