Troy vs. Little Rock - 2/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (5-20) at Troy Trojans (11-13)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 10, 2018 at 5:15 pm (Trojan Arena)
The Line: Troy Trojans -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Little Rock Trojans will travel to Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Little Rock Trojans lost their 7th straight game and dropped to 5-20 (2-10 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the South Alabama Jaguars, 73-56, this past Thursday. Little Rock trailed by just a 34-30 margin at halftime, however, struggled offensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after South Alabama took a 63-46 lead with 8:20 left in regulation. Little Rock shot just 21.4% (3-14) from beyond the arc and was outrebounded by the Jaguars by a 35-27 margin. Leading the way for the Trojans was Oliver Black who had 7 points, 8 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, Little Rock is averaging 63.4 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 6.4 three-pointers per game on 31.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Little Rock has been led by Andre Jones (12.3 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.4 apg), Anthony Black (7.7 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.0 spg), Ryan Pippins (7.4 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Oliver Black (6.4 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.2 apg). Defensively, Little Rock is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -2.0 and a turnover margin of -0.4. Little Rock will be without their leading scorer, Andre Jones, who has been suspended for this matchup.
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The Troy Trojans won their 2nd straight game and improved to 11-13 (5-6 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 89-83 in OT, this past Thursday. Troy fought back from a 78-72 deficit with just 1:30 left to force OT and had no problem securing the victory in the extra period after the Trojans opened overtime on a 9-0 run. Troy shot 52.5% from the field and outrebounded Arkansas State by a 46-34 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Trojans was Jordon Varnado who had a double-double with 18 points, 13 rebounds, 5 assists, and a block. On the season, Troy is averaging 76.6 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 9.0 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Troy has been led by Wesley Person (19.1 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordon Varnado (16.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.7 apg), Alex Hicks (12.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.2 apg), and B.J. Miller (7.9 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.3 spg). Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 ppg on 43.2% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -1.0 and a turnover margin of -0.5.
Little Rock is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Troy is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
It’s been a long year for Little Rock as the Trojans have really struggled on the offensive end as they come into this game ranked 340th in scoring offense, 271st in FG%, and 320th in 3P-FG%. Troy has won 3 of their last 5 games and is lead by their offensive duo of Wesley Person and Jordon Varnado who have the Trojans ranked 112th in scoring offense, T-59th in three-pointers made per game, and 59th in FG%. Troy has won their last 3-home games and as Little Rock have only scored more than 62-points once in their last six games, I’m taking Troy to cover this spread at home.