SMU vs. Memphis - 2/14/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Memphis Tigers (14-11) at SMU Mustangs (15-10)
College Basketball: Wednesday, February 14, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Moody Coliseum-Dallas)
The Line: SMU Mustangs -9 -- Over/Under: 135 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Memphis Tigers will travel to Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The Memphis Tigers lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 14-11 (5-7 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the UCF Knights, 68-64, this past Sunday. In at tight back and forth game, Memphis couldn’t fight back after a 6-0 Knights run gave UCF a 61-54 lead with 5:16 left in regulation. Memphis shot just 41.2% from the field and 31.3% (5-16) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was Kyvon Davenport who had 23 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, Memphis is averaging 70.0 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 5.4 three-pointers per game on 28.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Memphis has been led by Jeremiah Martin (19.2 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 3.9 apg, 2.2 spg), Kyvon Davenport (13.0 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.4 bpg), Kareem Brewton Jr. (8.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Jimario Rivers (7.1 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.0 apg). Defensively, Memphis is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of1.6 and a turnover margin of -0.4.
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The SMU Mustangs lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 15-10 (5-7 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the 6th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats, 76-51, this past Sunday. SMU didn’t have their leader, Shake Milton, who missed his 3rd straight game due to injury and couldn’t get anything going on the offense end in the blowout loss. SMU shot just 32.2% from the field and 16.7% (4-24) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Mustangs was Jimmy Whitt who had 19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, and 2 steals. On the season, SMU is averaging 71.7 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Mustangs are averaging 8.7 three-pointers per game on 39.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensviely, SMU has been led by Shake Milton (18.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.4 spg), Jarrey Foster (13.2 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.2 bpg), Jahmal McMurray (12.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.5 apg), Jimmy Whitt (10.6 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.9 spg), and Ben Emelogu II (10.3 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.3 spg). Defensively, SMU is holding their opponents to an average of 63.3 ppg on 41.6% shooting from the field. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of 1.6 and a turnover margin of 2.6. SMU’s Shake Foster is currently questionable with a hand injury and Jarrey Foster will be unavailable due to a knee injury that will keep him out for the read of the season.
The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Mustangs are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 home games however, are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The Tigers have lost 5 of their last 6 games and have really had a hard time this season finding ways to score the basketball as Memphis comes into this matchup ranked 272nd in scoring offense, 219th in FG%, 348th in 3P-FG%, and 246th in FT%. SMU has lost 4 of their last 5 games as the Mustangs have been really hurt due to injuries, however, SMU has played well this season and has been generally solid on the defense end as they currently rank 9th in scoring defense and 64th in defensive FG%. There are a lot of injury questions for SMU going into this one, however, even if Shake Milton and Ethan Chargois can’t go into one, I’d still lean towards SMU as I just don’t see how the Tigers and their 2-5 record on the road will be able to put up enough points to cover. Take SMU to cover.