Appalachian State vs. Troy - 2/17/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Troy Trojans (13-13) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (11-16)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Troy Trojans will travel to the Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Troy Trojans won their 4th straight game and improved to 13-13 (7-6 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 66-65, this past Thursday. Troy was able to fight back from a 12-point deficit midway through the 2nd half to pick up road victory after the Chanticleers, Jaylen Shaw, couldn’t convert a game-winning attempt with just 0:03 seconds left in regulation. Troy shot 43.8% from the field and 40.0% (12-30) from beyond the arc in the win. Leading the way for the Trojans was Alex Hicks who had 16 points, 6 rebounds, and a steal. On the season, Troy is averaging 76.4 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 9.1 three-pointers per game on 34.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Troy has been led by Wesley Person (18.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordon Varnado (16.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.4 bpg), Alex Hicks (12.1 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.3 bpg), and B.J. Miller (7.6 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.2 spg). Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 73.1 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -0.8 and a turnover margin of -0.6.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 11-16 (6-8 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the South Alabama Jaguars, 77-66, this past Thursday. Appalachian State struggled from beyond the arc and couldn’t fight back after a 13-6 Jaguars run gave South Alabama a 69-62 lead with 2:58 left in regulation. Appalachian State shot just 27.3% (6-22) from beyond the arc and committed 16 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was Griffin Kinney who had 19 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, and a block. On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 76.7 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers are averaging 9.1 three-pointers per game on 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Appalachian State has been led by Ronshad Shabazz (18.9 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Justin Forrest (13.4 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 bpg), Griffin Kinney (10.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Isaac Johnson (7.4 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.4 apg). Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 75.2 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of -0.9.
The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. The Mountaineers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Troy comes into this matchup ranked 106th in scoring offense and T-55th in three-pointers per game and the Trojans offensive has been really great as of late as during their 4-game winning streak, the Trojans are averaging 79.3 ppg. Appalachian State has won 3 of their last 6 games and although they have a decent offense that ranks 102nd in scoring offense, the Mountaineers have struggled defensively as the they come into this matchup ranked just 255thin scoring defense and 203rd in defensive FG%. Appalachian State play Troy tough on the road in their 81-79 loss, however, I think Troy has been playing some of their best basketball of the season as of late and as I think the scoring duo of Wesley Person and Jordon Varnado will be too much for the Mountaineers defense, I’m taking Troy to cover this small road spread.