Duke vs. Louisville - 2/21/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisville Cardinals (18-9) at Duke Blue Devils (22-5)
College Basketball: Wednesday, February 21, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Cameron Indoor Stadium)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils -12 -- Over/Under: 159 See the Latest Odds
The Louisville Cardinals will travel to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the 5th ranked Duke Blue Devils this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisville Cardinals had their2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 18-9 (8-6 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the 14th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels, 93-76, this past Saturday. Louisville has no answers on the defensive end for the Tar Heels and couldn’t fight back after North Carolina took a 68-54 lead midway through the 2nd half. Louisville allowed North Carolina to shoot 48.6% from the field and 44.4% (12-27) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Cardinals was Ray Spalding who had a double-double with 18 points, 12 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and 2 steals. On the season, Louisville is averaging 78.1 ppg on 46.2% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 36.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisville has been led by Deng Adel (15.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.9 apg), Quentin Snider (12.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 4.0 apg), Ray Spalding (11.7 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.6 spg, 1.8 bpg), and V.J. King (9.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg). Defensively, Louisville is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 ppg on 40.1% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of 0.0 and a turnover margin of 2.3.
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The 5th ranked Duke Blue Devils won their 3rd straight game and improved to 22-5 (10-4 ACC) on the season after defeating the 11th ranked Clemson Tigers, 66-57, this past Sunday. Duke was outstanding on the defensive end throughout the game and pulled away late from the Tigers after finishing the final two minutes of regulation on a 9-0 run. Duke held Clemson to just 34.4% shooting from the field and 25.0% (5-20) shooting from beyond the arc in the win. Leading the way for the Blue Devils was Wendell Carter Jr. who had a double-double with 15 points, 10 rebounds, 3 blocks, and a steal. On the season, Duke is averaging 87.4 ppg on 50.1% shooting from the field. The Blue Devils are averaging 8.6 three-pointers per game on 39.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Duke has been led by Marvin Bagley III (21.2 ppg, 11.4 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.1 bpg), Grayson Allen (15.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.4 spg), Gary Trent Jr. (15.1 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.2 spg), and Wendell Carter Jr. (14.4 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 1.9 apg, 2.2 bpg). Defensively, Duke is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 ppg on 40.4% shooting from the field. The Blue Devils have a rebound margin of 9.4 and a turnover margin of -0.4. Marvin Bagley III is currently questionable due to a knee injury that has kept him out of the Blue Devils last three games.
The Cardinals are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. ACC opponents.
Louisville has been a solid team on both sides of the ball this season as the Cardinals come in ranked 73rd in scoring offense and 15th defensive FG%, however, the Cardinals have struggled recently in conference play as Louisville has lost 5 of their last 8 games. Duke looked impressive coming out of Clemson with a 9-point victory without the services of Marvin Bagley III and has been led on the season by their offense which currently ranks 2nd in scoring offense, 14th in FG%, and 4th in rebound margin. I’d feel better if I knew the status of Marvin Bagley III however, the Duke defense has really played better as of late since switching to more of a zone defense as they held both Virginia Tech and Clemson to under 60 points and as I’m sure the latest negative news coming out of Louisville will be nothing but an unwanted distraction for the Cardinals, I’m taking Duke to cover this double-digit spread at home.