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Michigan State vs. Michigan - 3/3/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan Wolverines (26-7) at Michigan State Spartans (29-3)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 3, 2018 at 2:00 pm (Madison Square Garden)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans PK -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

We have some Big Ten Tournament semifinals action on Saturday as the Michigan State Spartans battle the Michigan Wolverines. 

The Michigan State Spartans will look to advance to the conference championship game after taking down Wisconsin in the quarterfinals by a final score of 63-60. Miles Bridges led the Spartans with 20 points on 7 of 15 shooting with 3 triples and a team-high 9 rebounds while Cassius Winston added 17 points and a team-high 5 assists as the only other Michigan State player to score in double digits in the win. Bridges leads the Spartans in scoring with an average of 16.8 points per game while Winston leads Michigan State in assists with 6.9 assists per game and Nick Ward leads the Spartans in rebounding with 7.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Michigan State is scoring 82.1 points per game with the 5th-best field goal percentage in the country at 51.1% and the 4th-best 3-point percentage at 42.1% in addition to a 74.6% mark from the foul line this season. The Spartans are also getting it done defensively, allowing the lowest field goal percentage against in the nation, holding opponents to just 36.1% from the floor this season. 

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Michigan State vs. Michigan - 3/3/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Michigan Wolverines will be looking to advance to the championship game to defend their Big Ten title after taking down Nebraska in their last outing by a final score of 77-58. Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman led the Wolverines with 21 points on 7 of 13 shooting, drilling all 5 of his 3-point attempts, while Moritz Wagner came 2nd with 20 points along with 13 rebounds for the double-double. Zavier Simpson added 12 points with a team-high 6 assists to round out the trio of double digit scorers for Michigan in the win. Wagner leads Michigan with an average of 14.3 points and 7 rebounds per game while Simpson leads the Wolverines in assists with 3.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Michigan is scoring 74.3 points per game on 47.2% from the field, 36.6% from 3-point range and 65.4% from the foul line this season. 

Michigan State is 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. Michigan is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a win while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Michigan State is the 2nd best team in the country right now, so this game is for bragging rights and this tournament is just to add another trophy to the mantle before March Madness. Michigan doesn’t need this game either, but this would be a solid win to have on their resume and the Wolverines will still be out to defend their Big Ten title from a year ago. Plus, the Wolverines have been playing the more consistent basketball ATS as of late, so I’ll back Michigan to get the job done here.

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