Murray State vs. Belmont - 3/3/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Belmont Bruins (24-8) at Murray State Racers (25-5)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 3, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Ford Center)
The Line: Murray State Racers +1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The top two teams in the Ohio Valley Conference will duke it out in the conference title game as the Belmont Bruins take on the Murray State Racers.
The Belmont Bruins got to the conference championship game by taking down Austin Peay in their last outing by a final score of 94-79. Amanze Egekeze led the Bruins with 32 points on 10 of 12 shooting with a whopping 9 threes while Austin Luke added 18 points with 13 assists for the double-double and Dylan Windler and Tyler Hadden each chipped in 14 points to round out the foursome of double digit scorers for Belmont in the win. Windler shot 6 of 10 with 12 rebounds and 6 assists for the double-double while Hadden shot 5 of 6 from the floor and 4 of 4 from the foul line in just 23 minutes. Windler leads Belmont with an average of 17.6 points and 9.3 rebounds per game while Luke is the Bruins’ top assist man with 7.3 assists per game this season. As a team, Belmont is scoring 78 points per game on 48.7% shooting from the field, 37.9% from behind the arc and 73.3% from the foul line this season.
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The Murray State Racers punched their ticket to the title game with a 70-63 victory over Jacksonville State in their last outing on Friday. Jonathan Stark led the Racers with 22 points on 7 of 21 shooting with 4 threes, while Terrell Miller Jr. added 18 points on 6 of 7 shooting, drilling all 4 of his 3-point attempts along with 18 rebounds for an impressive double-double and Demetrius Morant added 11 points with a team-high 8 assists to round out the trio of double digit scorers for the Racers in the win. Leroy Buchanan also chipped in 5 points and 4 steals in the winning effort for Murray State. Stark leads the Racers in scoring with 21.7 points per game while Miller Jr. leads the Racers on the glass with 8.3 rebounds per game and Morant leads Murray State in assists with 6.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Murray State is scoring 79.3 points per game on 48.8% shooting from the field, 38.3% from behind the arc and 72.9% from the foul line this season.
Belmont is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 12-2 in their last 14 games overall. Murray State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a game where they covered the spread and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Belmont is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
This has down to the wire written all over it in my opinion and it could very well come down to who has the ball last. Belmont took the only meeting between the two in the regular season but the Racers come into this one the hotter team. All in all I think Murray State's momentum is enough to carry them to a conference title, so I'll take the free point with Murray State as I have the Racers winning outright.