North Carolina State vs. Louisville - 3/3/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisville Cardinals (19-11) at North Carolina State Wolfpack (20-10)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 3, 2018 at 6:00 pm (PNC Arena)
The Line: North Carolina State Wolfpack -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Louisville Cardinals will travel to PNC Arena to take on the NC State Wolfpack this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisville Cardinals dropped to 19-11 (9-8 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the top-ranked Virginia Cavaliers, 67-66, this past Thursday. Louisville led by a 58-49 margin with just 3:47 left in regulation, however, Virginia was able to storm back and after a costly Cardinals turnover with .9 seconds, Virginia was able to capitalize on the ensuing procession after the Cavaliers De’Andre Hunter banked in the game-winning three-pointer as time expired. Louisville shot 41.3% from the field and was outrebounded by Virginia by a 34-27 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Cardinals was Deng Adel who had 18 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists. On the season, Louisville is averaging 76.9 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisville has been led by Deng Adel (15.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 3.0 apg), Quentin Snider (12.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.9 apg), Ray Spalding (12.0 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.5 spg, 1.7 bpg), and V.J. King (8.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg). Defensively, Louisville is allowing their opponents to an average of 70.0 ppg on 40.6% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of -0.1 and a turnover margin of 2.0.
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The NC State Wolfpack had their 4-game winning streak and dropped to 20-10 (10-7 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 78-75, this past Thursday. NC State led by a 38-31 margin at halftime, however, struggled defensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back 7-0 Yellow Jackets run gave Georgia Tech a 78-72 lead with just 0:37 seconds left in regulation. NC State allowed Georgia Tech to shoot 51.6% shooting from the field and 50.0% (6-12) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Wolfpack was Torin Dorn who had 18 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal. On the season, NC State is averaging 81.2 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Wolfpack are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, NC State has been led by Allerik Freeman (15.2 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.2 spg), Torin Dorn (13.7 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg), Omer Yurtseven (13.7 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.7 bpg), and Braxton Beverly (9.9 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.0 spg). Defensively, NC State is allowing their opponents to an average of 74.1 ppg on 46.4% shooting from the field. The Wolfpack have a rebound margin of 1.2 and a turnover margin of 2.7.
The Cardinals are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Louisville has lost 6 of their last 9 games however, the Cardinals have been decent on both ends of the court this season as the Cardinals rank 89th in scoring offense, 118th in scoring defense, and 20th in defensive FG%. NC State dropped a tough game against Georgia Tech, however, the Wolfpack have had a great season to date and has been led by their offense that ranks 40th in scoring offense and 73rd in FG%. NC State is 15-3 at home this season with wins against Duke and Clemson and as I think it will be hard for Louisville to bounce back after such and unexpected loss, I’m taking NC state to cover this small home spread.