Texas vs. West Virginia - 3/3/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
West Virginia Mountaineers (22-8) at Texas Longhorns (17-13)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 3, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Frank Erwin Center)
The Line: Texas Longhorns -5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The 20th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers will travel to the Frank Erwin Center to take on the Texas Longhorns this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The 20th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 22-8 (11-6 Big 12) on the season after defeating the 12th ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders, 84-74, this past Monday. West Virginia led by a 42-29 margin at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half after a 7-0 Mountaineers run gave West Virginia a 66-48 lead with 8:12 left in regulation. West Virginia shot 49.2% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 13-5 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was Jevon Carter who had 21 points, 3 rebounds, 7 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, West Virginia is averaging 80.5 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers are averaging 8.9 three-pointers per game on 35.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, West Virginia has been led by Jevon Carter (17.2 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 6.5 apg, 2.9 spg), Daxter Miles Jr. (12.4 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.3 spg), Sagaba Konate (10.7 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 3.4 bpg), and Esa Ahmad (10.4 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.9 apg). Defensively, West Virginia is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 ppg on 41.5% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of 5.4.
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The Texas Longhorns dropped to 17-13 (7-10 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 6th ranked Kansas Jayhawks, 80-70, this past Monday. Texas trailed by a 45-32 margin at halftime and couldn’t fight back after Kansas took a 71-57 lead with 5:53 left in regulation. Texas allowed Kansas to shoot 60.3% from the field and 43.8% (7-16) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Longhorns was Kerwin Roach II who had 18 points, 4 rebounds, 8 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, Texas is averaging 71.4 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Longhorns are averaging 6.9 three-pointers per game on 30.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas has been led by Dylan Osetkowski (13.7 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1. Spg), Mohamed Bamba (13.0 ppg, 10.6 rpg, 3.8 bpg), Kerwin Roach II (11.9 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.4 spg), and Matt Coleman (9.0 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4.2 apg, 1.1 spg). Defensively, Texas is holding their opponents to an average of 67.8 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field. The Longhorns have a rebound margin of -0.2 and a turnover margin of 0.8. Mohamed Bamba is currently questionable for this contest after missing last game due to a toe injury while Eric Davis Jr. is currently listed as “out indefinitely” due to disciplinary issues concerning the recent report about impermissible benefits.
The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
West Virginia has gotten back on the track as of late and has been led by their defense that ranks 78th in scoring defense, 46th in defensive FG%, and 3rd in turnover margin. Texas has lost 5 of their last 7 games and although they have a bunch of talent and have been strong defensively, the Longhorns have struggled offensively as they rank just 242nd in scoring offense and 238th in FG%. It will be important to keep an eye on the status of Mohamed Bamba in this one however, even if Bamba is able to go, I think the West Virginia defense will be too much for the Longhorns and that they cover this mid-range road spread.