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Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green - 3/5/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green Falcons (16-15) at Central Michigan Chippewas (18-13)

College Basketball: Monday, March 5, 2018 at 7:00 pm (McGuirk Arena)

The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

We have some MAC tournament first round action on Monday as the #9 seed Bowling Green Falcons take on the #8 seed Central Michigan Chippewas. 

The Bowling Green Falcons ended up as the #9 seed thanks to a 7-11 mark in conference play as part of their 16-15 overall record this season. The Falcons ended up with a solid win over perennial March Madness team Florida Gulf Coast as part of Bowling Green’s 5-1 start to the year. Consistency was hard to come by in MAC play, as the Falcons never logged more than back-to-back wins while putting together losing skids of 3 games and a 5 game losing streak to finish the regular season. Justin Turner led Bowling Green in scoring with 15.8 points per game while Rodrick Caldwell is the Falcons’ leading assist man with 2.7 assists per game and Demajeo Wiggins leads Bowling Green on the glass by averaging a double-double per game with 14.1 points along with his team-leading 10.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Bowling Green is scoring 75.9 points per game on 42.2% shooting from the field, 34.7% from behind the arc and 73.3% from the foul line this season.

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Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green - 3/5/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Central Michigan Chippewas ended up as the #8 seed with the same 7-11 conference mark as Bowling Green, winning the tiebreaker after going 3-0 against both of the other teams in the 3-way tie for 8th. The Chippewas got out to a strong 12-2 start to the year with their only losses coming in a narrow 7-point loss to a top-25 team in Michigan and a 6-point road loss to Southern Utah. CMU opened conference play with a 25-point win over Ohio, but found themselves in a hole quickly after losing 6 of their next 7 games and 11 of 15 before closing out the year with back-to-back victories. Shawn Roundtree leads Central Michigan with an average of 15.2 points and 3.8 assists per game while David DiLeo leads the Chippewas on the glass with 6.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Central Michigan is scoring 78 points per game on 43.3% shooting from the field, 33.8% from behind the 3-point line and 80.8% from the foul line this season, the 2nd-best free throw percentage in the country.

Bowling Green is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Central Michigan is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a win while the over is 12-3-2 in their last 17 games overall. Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings at Central Michigan.

With the tragic events that occurred at Central Michigan, this could go one of two ways for the Chippewas. They come out distracted and lose or the Chippewas rally and come out strong. With this tournament game being on home soil, I’m thinking we see the latter as the Chippewas win and cover in the process.

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