Idaho State vs. Southern Utah - 3/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (11-18) at Idaho State Bengals (14-15)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 6, 2018 at 8:35 pm (Reno Events Center)
The Line: Idaho State Bengals -2 -- Over/Under: 151 See the Latest Odds
The Southern Utah Thunderbirds and Idaho State Bengals will square off at the Reno Events Center this Thursday night in the 1st round of the Big Sky Men’s Championship.
The Southern Utah Thunderbirds finished their regular season with an overall record of 11-18 and earned the 10-seed in the Big Sky Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with a 5-13 record. The Thunderbirds has a rough end to their season as they finished 5 of their last 7 games on the road and went just 2-5 in that span. Like many of the teams that struggled in the Big Sky this season, the Thunderbirds biggest weakness came on the defense end as they were one of the worst teams in the College Basketball in terms of scoring defense and defensive FG%. On the season, Southern Utah is averaging 75.1 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Thunderbirds are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 35.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Southern Utah has been led by Jamal Aytes (12.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg), Dwayne Morgan (12.6 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.0 apg), Brandon Better (12.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Jadon Cohee (12.2 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 3.2 apg). Defensively, Southern Utah is allowing their opponents to average 81.2 ppg on 47.4% shooting from the field. The Thunderbirds have a rebound margin of -2.6 and averaged 5.2 steals per game.
USA TODAY Sports
The Idaho State Bengals finished their year with an overall record of 14-15 and come into the Big Sky Men’s Championship as the 7-seed after finishing conference play with a record of 9-9. Idaho State was led by their offense this season as although the Bengals rank just 175th in scoring offense, Idaho State does come into this matchup ranked 44th in FG% and 16th in 3P-FG%. On the season, Idaho State is averaging 73.9 ppg on 8.6 three-pointers per game. The Bengals are averaging 8.6 three-pointers per game on 40.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Idaho State has been led by Jared Stutzman (15.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.5 apg), Brandon Boyd (14.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg), Novak Topalovic (10.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.0 bpg), and Geno Luzcando (10.5 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 2.9 apg, 2.0 spg). Defensively, Idaho State is allowing their opponents to average 74.3 ppg on 45.7% shooting from the field. The Bengals have a rebound margin of -2.6 and a turnover margin of -1.7.
The Thunderbirds are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record however, are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Southern Utah and Idaho State split their regular season series as the Southern Utah won by an 84-80 margin at home in early February while the Bengals won by a 93-78 margin at home in early January.
Southern Utah struggled away from home this season as the Thunderbirds picked up only two wins on the road this year and between the fact that Idaho State has won 4 of their last 7 games and was able to put 80+ points up on the Thunderbirds in both matchups this year, I think the Bengals do enough in this one to cover this spread. Take Idaho State to cover.