Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma - 3/7/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oklahoma Sooners (18-12) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (18-13)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 7, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Sprint Center)
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys +2 -- Over/Under: 165.5 See the Latest Odds
We have some Bedlam in the first round of the Big 12 tournament as the #9 seed Oklahoma Sooners take on the #8 seed Oklahoma State Cowboys in a college basketball matchup on Wednesday.
The Oklahoma Sooners had quite the fall from grace this season, from being a top-5 team nationally to sitting with the 2nd-worst record in Big 12 conference play, posting an 8-10 conference record as part of their 18-13 overall record this season. The Sooners got out to a quick start to the year, sitting at 10-1 with wins over Oregon, USC, Wichita State and Northwestern as the Sooner scored no less than 82 points in each of those games, followed by wins in 3 of their first 4 conference games to start the year. Then the cracks started to show on the defensive end as the Sooners lost 3 of their next 5 and followed that with a 6 game losing skid, alternating wins and losses in their last 4 games to close out the regular season. Trae Young led the Sooners with 27.5 points and 8.9 assists per game while Khadeem Lattin led Oklahoma with 6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Oklahoma owns the 4th-highest scoring offense in the country with 86 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 36.4% from behind the arc and 75.2% from the foul line this season.
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The Oklahoma State Sooners got their hands on the #8 seed after edging out the Sooners with an 8-10 conference mark of their own with the difference being a 2-0 record against top-seeded Kansas in the tiebreaker. The Cowboys also finished 18-13, starting the year 10-2 in what some could argue wasn’t the toughest of schedules with the Cowboys toughest wins coming against Florida State on a neutral floor, Tulsa and Pittsburgh. Things got off to a bumpy start for the Cowboys, dropping 7 of their first 10 games and not recording back-to-back wins until the last 2 games of the regular season. However, the quality of the wins is what makes Oklahoma State stand out. The Cowboys own a pair of victories over a potential #1 seed in the NCAA tournament in Kansas, while wins over ranked opposition like West Virginia, Oklahoma and Texas Tech. Jeffrey Carroll led Oklahoma State with 15.1 points per game while Mitchell Solomon led the Cowboys on the glass with 6.4 rebounds per game and Kendall Smith led Oklahoma State in assists with 3 assists per game this season. As a team, Oklahoma State is scoring 76.9 points per game on 44% shooting from the field, 34.7% from behind the arc and 76.1% from the foul line this season.
Oklahoma is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 neutral site games. Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a win while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Oklahoma is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two teams.
With this line being as low as it is, a lot of people may think the logical pick is the Sooners given their past success in this matchup. However, even though the Sooners won the first matchup by a final score of 109-89, the fact is that Oklahoma has been in a tailspin. The Cowboys aren’t much more consistent but they’ve proven that they can hang with the best of the best and not only compete, but win. All in all I think Oklahoma’s nightmare second half of the season reaches it’s finale here, so I’ll take Oklahoma State here.