Duke vs. Notre Dame - 3/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (20-13) at Duke Blue Devils (25-6)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 8, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Barclays Center)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils -7 -- Over/Under: 144 See the Latest Odds
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and 5th ranked Duke Blue Devils will square off at the Barclays Center this Thursday night in the quarterfinals of the New York Life ACC Men’s Tournament.
The 10-seed Notre Dame Fighting Irish improved to 20-13 (8-10 ACC) on the season after upsetting the 7-seed Virginia Tech Hokies, 71-65, to advance past the 2nd round of the New York Life ACC Men’s Tournament. Notre Dame was down by a 21-point margin with just over 15 minutes left in the 2nd half, however, was outstanding on the defensive end towards the end of the game and took the lead for good after a 34-12 run gave the Fighting Irish a 60-59 lead with 2:03 left in regulation. Notre Dame held Virginia Tech to just 26.7% (8-30) from beyond the arc and outrebounded the Hokies by a 38-32 margin in the win. Leading the way for the Fighting Irish was Matt Farrell who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists. On the season, Notre Dame is averaging 75.6 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field. The Fighting Irish are averaging 8.7 three-pointers per game on 37.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Notre Dame has been led by Bonzie Colson (20.8 ppg, 10.3 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.8 spg), Matt Farrell (16.8 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.1 spg), TJ Gibbs Jr. (15.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 spg), and Rex Pflueger (8.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.1 spg). Defensively, Notre Dame is holding their opponents to an average of 68.3 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Fighting Irish have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 1.2.
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The 5th ranked Duke Blue Devils (25-6) finished off their season in impressive fashion with a 74-64 victory over the North Carolina Tar Heels and come into the New York Life ACC Men’s Tournament as the 2-seed after finishing conference play with a 13-5 record. Duke has one of the more talented offenses in the country and since switching to a zone defense late in the season, has started to look like the team to beat in College Basketball. Duke has been led by their offense this season which ranks 6th in scoring offense, 18th in FG%, and 50th in 3P-FG%. On the season, Duke is averaging 85.1 ppg on 49.4% shooting from the field. The Blue Devils are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 38.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Duke has been led by Marvin Bagley III (20.7 ppg, 11.2 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.0 bpg), Grayson Allen (15.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.7 spg), Gary Trent Jr. (14.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Wendell Carter Jr (14.1 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 2.1 apg, 2.2 bpg), and Trevon Duval (10.4 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.5 spg). Defensively, Duke is allowing their opponents to average 69.5 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Blue Devils have a rebound margin of 9.4 and a turnover margin of -0.4.
The Fighting Irish are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
Duke had no trouble with the Fighting Irish in their only matchup of the season as the Blue Devils defeated Notre Dame by an 88-66 margin at home in late January.
Notre Dame had an incredible come from behind win against Virginia Tech to keep their NCAA hopes alive, however, it’s been a bit concerning about how the Fighting Irish have looked in their first two games against Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech. Duke has been playing great on both ends of the court as of late and as I just think that between their scoring punch and size advantage down low, I think the Blue Devils have no trouble with the Fighting Irish and cover this spread.
Please Note: The Team/Players stats for Notre Dame are not updated with the results from their game against Virginia Tech on 3/7.