Fresno State vs. San Diego State - 3/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego State Aztecs (19-10) at Fresno State Bulldogs (21-10)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 8, 2018 at 5:30 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs +3.5 -- Over/Under: 140 See the Latest Odds
We have some Mountain West conference quarterfinals action on Thursday as the #5 seed San Diego State Aztecs take on the #4 Fresno State Bulldogs in a college basketball matchup.
The San Diego State Aztecs finished with the #5 seed after losing a head-to-head tiebreaker with these same Fresno State Bulldogs after an 11-7 mark in Mountain West play as part of their 19-10 overall mark this season. San Diego State scheduled themselves tough and got through it for the most part with an 8-3 mark with wins over Gonzaga and Georgia while taking some not so good losses to Cal and Washington State along with Arizona State. Consistency came and went for SDSU for chunks of the season, as the Aztecs went 3-1 and their lost 4 of 5 and 6 of 8 before rattling off 6 straight wins to finish the regular season. Malik Pope led San Diego State with 12.8 points per game while Jalen McDaniels led the Aztecs on the glass with 7.4 rebounds per game and Devin Watson led SDSU in assists with 3.9 assists per game this season. As a team, San Diego State is scoring 77.4 points per game on 45.9% shooting from the field, 34.1% from behind the arc and 71.9% from the foul line this season.
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The Fresno State Bulldogs got the #4 seed after finishing with the same 11-7 mark in Mountain West play, but won the tiebreaker by beating the Aztecs twice this season as part of their 21-10 overall record this season. Fresno State didn’t schedule the hardest non-conference slate, but did take some pretty solid competition to the wire that they did face, including losses to Arkansas, Evansville and Oregon, emerging into conference play with a 10-3 record. The Bulldogs struggled with consistency to start conference play, alternating wins and losses in each of their first 6 games and putting together a 5 game winning streak to start February before alternating wins and losses in each of their last 4 games to finish the year. Deshon Taylor led Fresno State with an average of 17.9 points and 2.6 assists per game while Bryson Williams led the Bulldogs in rebounding with 6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Fresno State is scoring 77.6 points per game on 49.4% shooting from the field, 39.9% from behind the arc and 69.5% from the foul line this season.
San Diego State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 conference matchups. Fresno State is 10-29-1 ATS in their last 40 neutral site games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall. San Diego State is 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these two teams.
I know San Diego State is playing their best basketball of the season coming into the tournament and this could blow up in my face, but I’m going to go the other way here. Fresno State swept the Aztecs this season and have pretty much owned San Diego State over the last few years ATS. I’m not sure who wins this, but I have the feeling that it goes down the wire regardless, so I’ll take the points with Fresno State here.