West Virginia vs. Baylor - 3/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baylor Bears (18-13) at West Virginia Mountaineers (22-9)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 8, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Sprint Center)
The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 142 See the Latest Odds
We have some Big 12 conference tournament quarterfinals action on Thursday as the #3 seed West Virginia Mountaineers take on the #6 seed Baylor Bears in a college basketball matchup.
The Baylor Bears finished with the #6 seed after winning a tiebreaker against Texas, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma following an 8-10 mark in Big 12 play as part of their 18-13 overall record this season. Baylor started the year strong at 5-0 with wins over Creighton and Wisconsin and ended the non-conference portion with a 10-2 record with their only defeats coming against Wichita State and Xavier. Baylor got off to a really bumpy start in conference, losing 4 of their first 5 games and 8 of their first 10 before rattling off 5 straight wins and then reverting back to old habits with losses in 3 of 4 games to finish the year. Manu Lecomte led Baylor with an average of 15.7 points and 3.6 assists per game while Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. led the Bears in rebounding with 8.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Baylor is scoring 75.8 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 35.6% from behind the arc and 74.1% from the foul line this season.
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The West Virginia Mountaineers ended up as the #3 seed in the tournament thanks to an 11-7 mark in Big 12 play as part of their 22-9 overall record this season. WVU lost their season opener to Texas A&M but finished their non-conference schedule with 11 straight wins, including a 68-61 win over the current #1 team in the country in Virginia, while also notching key wins over Missouri, UCF and Pittsburgh. The Mountaineers started 4-0 in conference play before falling back to .500 with losses in 5 of their next 6 games. West Virginia managed to finish the season strong with victories in 6 of their last 9 games to end the season. Jevon Carter led WVU with 17 points and 6.5 assists per game while Sagaba Donate led the Mountaineers on the glass with 7.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, West Virginia is scoring 80.4 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field, 34.9% from behind the arc and 76.7% from the foul line this season.
Baylor is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference matchups and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. West Virginia is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
The Mountaineers swept Baylor this season, but the Bears only lost in Morgantown by 3 which is one of the hardest places to play in the country. The Bears also need this win or else their tournament bubble would likely burst. West Virginia is already in the tournament for the most part and are just trying to strengthen their seed. I’ll take the points with the team that has more to play for in this one, and that’s Baylor.