Xavier vs. St. John's - 3/8/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. John's Red Storm (16-16) at Xavier Musketeers (27-4)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 7, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Madison Square Garden)
The Line: Xavier Musketeers -6 -- Over/Under: 151.5 See the Latest Odds
The St. John’s and 3rd ranked Xavier Musketeers will square off at Madison Square Garden this Thursday afternoon in the quarterfinals of the Big East Men’s Championship.
The 9- seed St. John’s Red Storm improved to 16-16 (4-14 Big East) on the season after defeating the Georgetown Hoyas, 88-77, in the 1st round of the Big East Men’s Championship. St. John’s trailed by a 48-42 margin at halftime however, really picked up the defensive effort in the 2nd half and pulled away after taking an 80-68 lead with 3:50 left in regulation. St. John’s shot 54.4% from the field while holding Georgetown to 38.1% shooting from the field and 36.4% (12-33) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Red Storm was Shamorie Ponds who had 26 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal. On the season, St. John’s is averaging 73.0 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Red Storm are averaging 7.1 three-pointers per game on 33.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, St. John’s has been led by Shamorie Points (21.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 4.9 apg, 2.5 spg), Marcus LoVett (14.9 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.7 apg, 2.1 spg), Marvin Clark II (12.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.1 spg), and Justin Simon (12.0 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 5.2 apg, 2.5 spg). Defensively, St. John’s is allowing their opponents to average 72.0 ppg on 41.9% shooting from the field. The Red Storm have a rebound margin of -5.7 and a turnover margin of 4.6.
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The 3rd ranked Xavier Musketeers finished their regular season with an overall record of 27-4 and earned the top-seed in the Big East Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an impressive 15-3 record. Xavier was outstanding throughout the year with quality wins against Cincinnati, Seton Hall, Creighton, and Butler and come into the tournament winners of 12 of their last 13 games. Xavier was led by their explosive offense that currently ranks 10th in scoring offense, 14th in FG%, 77th in 3P-FG%, and 7th in FT%. On the season, Xavier is averaging 84.5 ppg on 49.6% shooting from the field. The Musketeers are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Xavier has been led by Trevon Bluiett (19.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.6 apg), J.P. Macura (12.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.3 spg), Quentin Goodin (9.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 5.0 apg), and Naji Marshall (8.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.5 apg). Defensively, Xavier is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field. The Musketeers have a rebound margin of 7.0 and a turnover margin of -1.1.
The Red Storm are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.
Xavier won both matchups against St. John’s this season as the Musketeers won by a 88-82 margin at home in mid-January and by a 73-68 margin on the road at the end of January.
St. John’s has now won 6 of their last 9 games and has been great on the defensive end in creating turnovers as the Red Storm currently ranks 9th in steals and 5th in turnover margin. Xavier has one of the most explosive offenses in the country, however, the Musketeers can have struggled defensively as they rank just 245th in scoring defense and as the Red Storm has been able to keep both games close this season, I think St. John’s will be able to cover with the points in this one.
Please Note: The Team/Players stats for St. John’s are not updated with the results from their game against Georgetown on 3/7.