Texas-Arlington vs. Appalachian State - 3/9/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Appalachian State Mountaineers (15-17) at Texas-Arlington Mavericks (19-12)
College Basketball: Friday, March 9, 2018 at 3:00 pm (Lakefront Arena)
The Line: Texas-Arlington Mavericks -5.5 -- Over/Under: 154 See the Latest Odds
We have some Sun Belt conference quarterfinals action on tap Friday afternoon, as the #5 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers take on the #4 seed UT-Arlington Mavericks in a college basketball matchup.
The #5 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers will look to continue to the semifinals after a 93-64 win over Little Rock in the first round. O’Showen Williams led App State with 22 points on 6 of 8 shooting with 3 triples and 3 steals while Justin Forrest came 2nd with 19 points on 6 of 8 shooting with 4 threes. Griffin Kinney and Ronshad Shabazz each added 12 points with Kinney adding 6 rebounds, 4 assists and a pair of steals while Shabazz dished out a team-high 5 assists. Isaac Johnson added 11 points to match his team-high 11 rebounds to round out the scoring in double figures for Appalachian State in the win. Shabazz leads Appalachian State with an average of 18.7 points and 3 assists per game while Johnson leads the Mountaineers in rebounding with 8.4 boards per game this season. As a team, Appalachian State is scoring 76.6 points per game on 43.9% shooting from the field, 34.5% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season.
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The UT-Arlington Mavericks got a first round bye after finishing the regular season in the #4 spot with a 10-8 conference mark as part of their 19-12 overall mark this season. The Mavericks raced out to a strong 7-1 start to the year with wins over Loyola-Marymount and BYU with their lone loss coming in a 1-point defeat at Alabama. The Mavericks finished their non-conference portion at 9-4 after dropping decisions to Creighton, Florida Gulf Coast and Northern Iowa. Consistency was hard to come by for UT-Arlington, as the Mavericks never got more than one game above .500 in conference until winning 3 straight games to close out the regular season. Kevin Hervey leads UT-Arlington with an average of 21.1 points and 8.7 rebounds per game while Erick Neal leads UT-Arlington in assists with 7 assists per game this season. As a team, UT-Arlington is scoring 78.2 points per game on 45.4% shooting from the field, 36.3% from behind the arc and 67.6% from the foul line this season.
Appalachian State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games while the the under is 19-8-1 in their last 28 games following a win of 20 or more points. UT-Arlington is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a game where they failed to cover the spread and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Appalachian State is 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
The Mountaineers come into this one in slightly better form and consistency has been an issue for the Mavericks this season. However, I think UT-Arlington has the size advantage that could make life difficult for Appalachian State, thus giving them enough of an edge to advance with a win and cover here.