Arizona vs. USC - 3/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
USC Trojans (23-10) at Arizona Wildcats (26-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 10, 2018 at 10:00 pm (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line: Arizona Wildcats -2.5 -- Over/Under: 145 See the Latest Odds
The USC Trojans and 15th ranked Arizona Wildcats will square off at T-Mobile Arena this Saturday night in the finals of the Pac-12 Men’s Tournament.
The 2-seed USC Trojans improved to 23-10 (12-6 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the 6-seed Oregon Ducks, 74-54, last night. USC was outstanding on the defensive end against USC and didn’t have any trouble securing the win after taking a 37-23 lead at halftime. USC shot 50.0% from the field while holding Oregon to 33.3% shooting from the field and 26.7% (8-30) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Trojans was Jonah Mathews who had 27 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, USC is averaging 77.7 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 8.2 three-pointers per game on 37.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, USC has been led by Chimezie Metu (16.1 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.8 bpg), Jordan McLaughlin (12.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 7.4 apg, 1.9 spg), Elijah Stewart (11.2 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Jonah Mathews (8.8 ppg, 2.6 rpg). Defensively, USC is allowing their opponents to average 70.5 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of 1.3 and a turnover margin of 2.9. USC will be without Bennie Boatwright (13.6 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.0 apg) who is out for the season due to a knee injury.
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The top-seeded Arizona Wildcats improved to 26-7 (14-4 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the 4-seed UCLA Bruins, 78-67 in OT, last night. Arizona allowed UCLA to force OT after a Jaylen Hands lay-up tied the game with just :09 seconds left in regulation, however, the Wildcats had no trouble putting the Bruins away in the overtime after they held UCLA scoreless in the overtime period. Arizona shot 43.9% from the field while holding the Bruins to just 39.7% shooting from the field and 28.6% (10-35) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Deandre Ayton who had a double-double with 32 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks, and 2 steals. On the season, Arizona is averaging 81.2 ppg on 50.7% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 7.0 three-pointers per game on 38.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Arizona has been led by Deandre Ayton (19.6 ppg, 11.3 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.9 bpg), Allonzo Trier (19.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.3 apg), Rawle Alkins (13.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.4 spg), and Dusan Ristic (12.1 ppg, 7.0 rpg). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 71.6 ppg on 43.2% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 7.1 and a turnover margin of -0.6.
The Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Wildcats are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win and just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games.
Arizona defeated USC in their only matchup of the season as the Wildcats defeated the Trojans by an 81-67 margin in mid-February.
USC has won 6 of their last 7 games and has been led by their offense that ranks 74th in scoring offense, 72nd in FG%, and 62nd in 3P-FG%. Arizona has won 7 of their last 8 games and has also been led by their offense which currently ranks 37th in scoring offense, 3rd in FG%, and 42nd in 3P-FG%. USC has been impressive as of late, especially after they lost won of their best players in Bennie Boatwright towards the end of the season, however, Arizona has arguably the best player in the country in Deandre Ayton who is playing his best basketball of the season as of right now and as I think the Wildcats offense will be able to put up plenty of points against the Trojans defense, I’m taking Arizona to cover this small spread.