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Oregon vs. Rider - 3/13/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Rider Broncs (22-9) at Oregon Ducks (22-12)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 13, 2018 at 10:00 pm (Matthew Knight Arena)

The Line: Oregon Ducks -11 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Rider Broncs will travel to Matthew Knight Arena to take on the Oregon Ducks this Tuesday night in the 1st round of the NIT Tournament.

The 6-seed Rider Broncs finished their season with an overall record of 22-9 and although they were the top-seed in the MAAC with a 15-3 conference record, the Broncs couldn’t punch their ticket to the NCAA Tournament after being upset by the Saint Peter’s Peacocks, 66-55, in the quarterfinals of the MAAC Men’s Championship.  Rider struggled offensively against the Saint Peter’s defense and couldn’t fight back after a 15-3 Peacocks run to start the 2nd half gave Saint Peter’s a 42-28 lead with 14:52 left in regulation. Rider shot just 30.6% from the field and 14.3% (3-21) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Broncs was Stevie Jordan who had 13 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, Rider is averaging 81.7 ppg on 46.5% shooting from the field. The Broncs are averaging 7.6 three-pointers per game on 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Rider has been led by Dimencio Vaughn (15.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.8 spg), Jordan Allen (13.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg), Stevie Jordan (12.7 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 5.9 apg, 1.7 spg), Frederick Scott (12.7 ppg, 6.6 rpg). Defensively, Rider is allowing their opponents to average 77.6 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field. The Broncs have a rebound margin of 2.9 and a turnover margin of 2.1.

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Oregon vs. Rider - 3/13/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 3-seed Oregon Ducks finished their regular season with an overall record of 22-12 (10-8) and although they did pick up a couple of nice wins against Washington State and Utah in the Pac-12 Tournament, the Ducks couldn’t secure the automatic bid after falling to the USC Trojans by a 74-54 margin in the semifinals. Oregon struggled on both sides of the court against the Trojans and couldn’t fight back after trailing by a 37-23 margin at halftime. Oregon allowed USC to shoot 50.0% from the field while the Ducks shot just 33.3% from the field and 26.7% (8-30) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Ducks was MiKyle McIntosh who had 21 points, 4 rebounds, and a steal. On the season, Oregon is averaging 77.2 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Ducks are averaging 9.0 three-pointers per game on 35.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon has been led by Payton Pritchard (14.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.7 apg, 1.3 spg), Elijah Brown (13.7 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.5 apg), MiKyle McIntosh (11.6 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Troy Brown (11.5 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.6 spg). Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 71.1 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Ducks have a rebound margin of 3.0 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The Broncs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss however, are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Rider had a disappointing end to their regular season after being knocked out early in the MAAC Tournament, however, this is still a team that has won 11 of their last 13 games and has a high-scoring offense that currently ranks 29th in scoring offense and 83rd in FG%. Oregon has won 6 of their last 8 games and has been solid on both ends of the court this season as the Dukes currently rank 81st in scoring offense, 103rd in defensive FG%, and 79th in rebound margin. The line has yet to be released for this matchup, however, Rider generally plays to the level of their competition and has shown they can play with some of the top-teams as they lost a close 88-84 battle at Providence while also beating a good Penn State team on the road, I think the Broncs put enough up on the offensive end to cover with the points. 

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