UNC Greensboro vs. Gonzaga - 3/15/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Gonzaga Bulldogs (30-4) vs. UNC Greensboro Spartans (27-7)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 15, 2018 at 1:20 pm (Taco Bell Arena)
The Line: Gonzaga Bulldogs -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Gonzaga Bulldogs and UNC Greensboro Spartans meet Thursday in the first round of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Taco Bell Arena.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs enter this tournament haven’t not lost a single game since January 18 and have lost to just three teams not ranked in the AP Top 25 since the start of last season. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are averaging 84.5 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 67.1 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Johnathan Williams is averaging 13.5 points and 8.3 rebounds while Josh Perkins is averaging 12.4 points and 5.4 assists. Zach Norvell Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Killian Tillie is grabbing six rebounds. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free throw line. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game. The Gonzaga Bulldogs have won five of their last seven neutral site games.
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The UNC Greensboro Spartans have won their last six games and are fresh off winning the Southern Tournament. The UNC Greensboro Spartans are averaging 73.5 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 62.5 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Francis Alonso is averaging 15.6 points and three assists while Marvin Smith is averaging 12.3 points and 5.4 rebounds. James Dickey is grabbing 8.3 rebounds and Isaiah Miller is dishing 1.5 assists. The UNC Greensboro Spartans are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 70.1 percent from the free throw line. The UNC Greensboro Spartans are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game. The UNC Greensboro Spartans are 3-0 SU on neutral sites this season.
The Spartans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bulldogs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 overall and the over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 overall.
The UNC Greensboro Spartans are one of the top defensive teams in the country, as their 62.5 points allowed is good for sixth in college basketball and a 40.5 percent allowed field goal percentage is 20th. UNC Greensboro also beat NC State on the road earlier this year, another team that's dancing. I really want to give the Spartans a shot here and back the points. However, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are a different animal at both ends of the floor and beat teams by double digits often. Things can get out of hand quickly, and it's not like we're laying 25 or so like we've had to in the past. I'll take Gonzaga in a comfortable victory, but I'm not trying to sell the Spartans short.