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Georgia State vs. Cincinnati - 3/16/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats (30-4) vs. Georgia State Panthers (24-10)

College Basketball: Friday, March 16, 2018 at 1:50 pm (Bridgestone Arena)

The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Cincinnati Bearcats and Georgia State Panthers meet Friday in the first round of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Bridgestone Arena.

The Cincinnati Bearcats have won seven straight games and just won the AAC regular season title as well as the AAC Tournament. The Cincinnati Bearcats are averaging 74.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 57.1 points on 37 percent shooting. Jacob Evans is averaging 13.1 points and 3.3 assists while Gary Clark is averaging 12.7 points and 8.3 rebounds. Kyle Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Jarron Cumberland is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Cincinnati Bearcats are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 68.7 percent from the free throw line. The Cincinnati Bearcats are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.9 rebounds per game. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won six of their last seven neutral site games.

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Georgia State vs. Cincinnati - 3/16/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia State Panthers enter this game on a four-game winning streak and are fresh off winning the Sun Belt Tournament. The Georgia State Panthers are averaging 75.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 67.3 points on 39.3 percent shooting. D'Marcus Simonds is averaging 20.9 points and 4.5 assists while Devin Mitchell is averaging 12.2 points and 2.5 rebounds. Jeff Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Benlevi is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Georgia State Panthers are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 67.6 percent from the free throw line. The Georgia State Panthers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game. The Georgia State Panthers have won four of their last five neutral site games.

The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. The under is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 overall and the under is 10-3 in Panthers last 13 non-conference games. 

The Georgia State Panthers are a good basketball team that's top-10 in field goal percentage allowed and top-100 in field goal percentage. The problem that I have is that Georgia State hasn't had a tough schedule and didn't bulk up in out of conference play, which is an indication to me that you can hang with the big boys. Playing Ole Miss and Dayton on the road doesn't move the needle for me. The Cincinnati Bearcats are possibly the best defensive team in the country and will eat teams alive that aren't used to that physical play. You don't see grown man ball in the Sun Belt. I'll back the Bearcats in a ugly blowout victory.

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