TCU vs. Fresno State - 11/15/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

TCU vs. Fresno State - 11/15/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Fresno State Bulldogs (1-0) at TCU Horned Frogs (2-0)

College Basketball: Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Schollmaier Arena)

The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -11 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Fresno State Bulldogs will travel to Ed And Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the 21st ranked TCU Horned Frogs this Thursday night in College Basketball actin.

The Fresno State Bulldogs opened their 2018-19 season with a victory as they defeated the D-II Alaska Anchorage Seawolves, 91-63, on November 6th. Fresno State was solid on the defensive end and pulled away for victory in the 2nd half after a 9-0 Bulldogs run gave Fresno State a 69-45 lead with 9:25 left in regulation. Fresno State shot 47.5% from the field while holding the Seawolves to just 33.8% shooting from the field & 27.6% (8-29) shooting from beyond the arc. Fresno State was outrebounded by a 45-38 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 17-8 in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Braxton Huggins who had 23 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, and a steal.

Fresno State got off to a nice start under 1st year head coach Justin Hutson however, it could be difficult for the Bulldogs to match the 21-11 (11-7 MW) season they put up last season. Fresno State brings back their top-scorer in Deshon Taylor (17.8 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.6 apg), however, they lost a bunch of talent in Bryson Williams (13.8 ppg, 6.1 rpg), Jaron Hopkins (11.4 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Ray Bowles Jr. (10.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.0 apg), and Jahmel Taylor (9.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.4 apg). Fresno State was solid on both sides of the ball last season as they ranked in the top-100 in both scoring offense & scoring defense and will hope that transfers Noah Blackwell (Long Beach State) and Braxton Huggins (New Mexico State) can make immediate contributions for the Bulldogs and keep them relevant in the Mountain West.

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The 21st ranked TCU Horned Frogs improved to 2-0 on the young season after defeating the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, 79-62, this past Sunday. TCU controlled the game on both ends of the court from the opening tip-off and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 56-40 lead midway through the 2nd half. TCU shot 50.9% from the field and 46.7% (7-15) from beyond the arc while holding Oral Roberts to just 36.5% shooting from the field. TCU outrebounded Oral Roberts by a 42-33 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 16-13 margin. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was Desmond Bane who had 22 points, 2 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, TCU is averaging 72.5 ppg on 48.6% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs are averaging 5.0 three-pointers per game on 32.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, TCU has been led by Desmond Bane (18.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.0 spg), Alex Robinson (17.5 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 6.0 apg, 1.0 bpg), and JD Miller (13.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 3.5 apg). Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to average 61.5 ppg on 36.4% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs have a rebound margin of 9.5 and a turnover margin of -3.0.

The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12 and 28-13 ATS in their last 41 games following a straight up win. The Horned Frogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win however, are just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

TCU is going to be a tough team however, they are still without Jaylen Fisher who is recovering from a knee injury and do have some question marks when it comes to scoring as they no longer have Vladimir Brodziansky & Kenrich Williams. Fresno State lost a bunch of talent however returns a great player in Deshon Taylor and should have some solid experience with Huggins & Blackwell. TCU is the better team however, as they even struggled to put up points against CSU Bakersfield in their season opening 66-61 win, I think giving up double-digit points is just too much. I’m taking Fresno State and the points.  

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Fresno State Bulldogs +11

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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