UCF vs. Saint Joseph's - 11/16/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF vs. Saint Joseph's - 11/16/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Saint Joseph's Hawks (3-0) at UCF Knights (2-1)

College Basketball: Friday, November 16, 2018 at 1:30 pm (HTC Center)

The Line: UCF Knights -1 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Saint Joseph’s Hawks and UCF Knights will face off this Friday afternoon at the HTC Center in the Myrtle Beach Invitational.

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks improved to 3-0 on the young season after defeating the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 89-69, in the 1st round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational on Thursday afternoon. Saint Joseph’s was outstanding on the offensive end in the victory and pulled away in the 2nd half after an 8-0 run gave the Hawks a 66-54 lead with 11:41 left in regulation. Saint Joseph’s shot 51.6% from the field & 53.3% from beyond the arc in the victory. The Hawks outrebound the Demon Deacons by a 33-32 margin and committed just 8 turnovers. Leading the way for Saint Joseph’s was Charlie Brown Jr. who had 26 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist, 2 blocks, and 3 steals.

Coming into this game, Saint Joseph’s was averaging 78.5 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field. The Hawks were averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Saint Joseph’s has been led by Charlie Brown (20.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), Lamarr Kimble (16.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.5 apg), and Piefrancesco Oliva (10.5 ppg, 12.0 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.0 spg). Defensively, Saint Joseph’s is holding their opponents to an average of 63.5 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Hawks have a rebound margin of 6.5 and a turnover margin of 2.5.

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The UCF Knights improved to 2-1 on the season after defeating the CSU Fullerton Titans, 68-52, in their 1st round matchup of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. UCF was outstanding on the defensive end and was easily able to secure the victory after a 12-4 Knights run gave UCF a 62-37 lead with 6:19 left in regulation. UCF shot 43.3% from the field while holding CSU Fullerton to just 34.5% shooting from the field and 23.5% from beyond the arc. UCF outrebounded the Titans by a 39-25 margin and won the turnover battle by a 12-10 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Knights was Tacko Fall who had a double-double with 12 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, and 3 blocks.

Coming into this game, UCF was averaging 81.5 ppg on 47.8% shooting from the field. The Knights were averaging 5.5 three-pointers per game on 26.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UCF has been led by B.J. Taylor (25.5 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.0 spg), Aubrey Dawkins (16.0 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 1.0 bpg), and Terrell Allen (10.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 4.5 apg). Defensively, UCF was allowing their opponents to average 75.0 ppg on 40.4% shooting from the field. The Knights had a rebound margin of -1.0 and a turnover margin of 3.0.

The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in thier last 7 games overall. 

Saint Joseph’s has started off this season with solid wins and has been outstanding on the offensive side of the ball, however, UCF is going to be the toughest competition they’ve seen so far this year. The Knights have great experience and two great impact players in B.J. Taylor & Tacko Fall and as I think the Hawks offense will struggle a bit in what will be there toughest game to date on the young season, I’m initially leaning on taking UCF as I imagine the line will be pretty close to even in this one. Check back later once the line has been released.   

Update (12:45 PM) - The line is about where I thought it was going to be and I'm sticking with UCF to cover this small spread. Good Luck!

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick UCF Knights -1

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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