Villanova vs. Furman - 11/17/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Villanova vs. Furman - 11/17/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Furman Paladins (4-0) at Villanova Wildcats (2-1)

College Basketball: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 5:00 pm (Villanova Pavilion)

The Line: Villanova Wildcats -16.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Furman Paladins will travel to Finneran Pavilion to take on the 8th ranked Villanova Wildcats this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Furman Paladins improved to 4-0 on the young season after defeating the D-II North Greenville Crusaders, 107-67, this past Thursday. Furman’s Jordan Lyons has his way from beyond the arc, tying an NCAA record with 15 three-pointers and had no trouble pulling away in the 2nd half after taking a 55-38 lead. Furman shot 47.2% from the field and 42.9 (21-49) from beyond the arc in the win. The Paladins were outrebounded by the Crusaders by a 41-40 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 18-6 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Paladins was Jordan Lyons who had 54 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, Furman is averaging 89.3 ppg on 49.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Paladins are averaging 12.0 three-pointers per game on 37.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Furman has been led by Jordan Lyons (25.0 ppg, 1.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.8 spg), Matt Rafferty (19.0 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.5 spg), and Clay Mounce (12.8 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.8 bpg). Defensively, Furman is holding their opponents to an average of 64.8 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Paladins have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 6.8.

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The 8th ranked Villanova Wildcats dropped to 1-2 on the season and will look to bounce back after suffering a 73-46 blowout loss to the 18th ranked Michigan Wolverines this past Wednesday. In one of the worst performances we’ve seen out of Villanova in years, the Wildcats had no answers on either end of the court for Michigan and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 44-17 margin at halftime. Villanova allowed Michigan to shoot 50.9% from the field while the Wildcats shot just 31.8% from the field and 20.0% from beyond the arc. Turnovers were a major issue for the Wildcats as they lost the turnover battle by a 21-7 margin.

 On the season, Villanova is averaging 77.3 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 9.0 three-pointers per game on 32.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Villanova has been led by Phil Booth (16.3 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 spg), Eric Paschall (15.7 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Collin Gillespie (9.0 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.3 spg). Defensively, Villanova is allowing their opponents to average 67.7 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 12.0 and a turnover margin of -4.0.

The Paladins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home and 55-23-1 ATS in their last 79 non-conference games.

Villanova still has two of the best players in the Big East in Phil Booth and Eric Paschall, however, there was some worry that the Wildcats could be not as strong as we’ve seen in recent years and obviously after that loss to Michigan, the concerns are look like they are for real. Furman also loss some solid talent from their 23-win team, however, they still have Matt Rafferty and a solid group around him that can really light up a scoreboard. It’s hard not to take a Villanova team that you would imagine will come out strong after such a bad performance however Furman is an average team that has already beaten Loyola-Chicago on the road this season and I just think this is just too many points to pass up on. Take Furman and the points.

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Brett’s Pick Furman Paladins +16.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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