Toledo vs. Louisiana - 11/20/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (2-2) at Toledo Rockets (3-1)
College Basketball: Tuesday, November 20th, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Hertz Arena)
The Line: Toledo Rockets +2 -- Over/Under: 156 See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Ragin’s Cajuns and Toledo Rockets will square off in the semifinals of the Gulf Coast Showcase at Hertz Arena this Tuesday night.
The Louisiana Ragin’s Cajuns improved to 2-2 on the season after defeating the Colorado State Rams, 91-73, in the 1st round of the Gulf Coast Showcase on Monday night. Louisiana had no trouble putting up points agianst the Colorado State defense and pulled away after taking a 65-40 lead midway through the 2nd half. Louisiana shot 48.2% from the field and 44.8% from beyond the arc in the victory. The Ragin’s Cajuns were outrebounded by the Rams by a 38-31 margin however, forced Colorado State into 20 turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Ragin’s Cajuns was JaKeenan Gant who had 19 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocks, and an assist.
Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Coming into their matchup agianst the Rams, Louisiana was averaging 87.3 ppg on 50.5% shooting from the field. The Ragin’s Cajuns were averaging 11.3 three-pointers per game on 40.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisiana has been led by JaKeenan Gant (18.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 2.0 spg), Justin Miller (16.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg), Malik Marqetti (11.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.5 spg), and Marcus Stroman (8.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 9.0 apg, 3.0 spg). Defensively, Louisiana was allowing their opponents to average 85.3 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Ragin’s Cajuns had a rebound margin of -4.0 and a turnover margin of 2.0.
The Toledo Rockets improved to 3-1 on the season after defeating the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, 90-62, in the 1st round of the Gulf Coast Showcase last night. Toledo was outstanding on the offensive end agianst the Rockets and had to trouble securing the victory after taking a 42-25 halftime lead. Toledo shot 50.9% from the field and 57.1% from beyond the arc in the win. Toledo outrebounded Florida Gulf Coast by a 40-28 margin and committed just 13 turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Rockets was Jaelan Sanford who had 18 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal.
Coming into their game against the Eagles, Toledo was averaging 86.7 ppg on 49.1% shooting from the field. The Rockets were averaging 10.0 three-pointers per game on 39.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Jaelan Sanford (20.0 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.3 apg), Willie Jackson (13.3 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.3 apg), Luke Knapke (12.3 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.0 apg), and Nate Navigato (12.0 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.3 apg). Defensively, Toledo was allowing their opponents to average 76.0 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field. The Rockets had a rebound margin of -0.7 and a turnover margin of 1.3.
The Rockets are 3-7 ATS in thier last 10 non-conference games and just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-2 ATS in thier last 9 Tuesday games however, are 0-4 ATS in thier last 4 games following a straight up win.
Louisiana might be just 2-2 on the season however, but don’t read too much into those losses as they both came on the road against Tennessee & Kansas. Louisiana lost a few key players from last year’s 27-win team, but also returned a bunch of experience and have looked explosive on the offensive end as they rank 37th in scoring offense, 43rd in FG%, and T-13th in three-pointers made per game. Toledo is in a similar situation as the Ragin’s Cajuns as although they lost their best player from a 23-win team last season, they bring back a bunch of solid players and so far have been great offensively as they rank 42nd in scoring offense and 71st in FG%. The line has yet to be released, however, as I think the line will pretty close in this one, I’m initially leaning on taking the Ragin’s Cajuns as they are just a bit more battled tested this season and I think they’ll outlast the Rockets in a high-scoring affair.
Update (10:56 AM) - The line is about where I thought it would be with Louisiana favored by a small margin and I'm staying with my initial thoughts and going with the Ragin' Cauns in this one. Good Luck!