Pacific vs. Elon - 11/24/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pacific vs. Elon - 11/24/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

Elon Phoenix (2-2) at Pacific Tigers (4-2)

College Basketball: Saturday, November 24, 2018 at 11:00 pm (Spanos Center)

The Line: Pacific Tigers -8.5 -- Over/Under: 146 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Elon Phoenix will travel to the Alex G. Spanos Center to take on the Pacific Tigers this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Elon Phoenix lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-3 on the season after being defeated by the UC Riverside Highlanders, 77-64, this past Thursday night. Elon struggled defensively agianst UC Riverside and couldn’t fight back after the Highlanders took a 63-50 lead with 4:18 left in regulation. Elon allowed UC Riverside to shoot 51.1% from the field and 43.5% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Phoenix was Steven Santa Ana who had 13 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 1 steal.

On the season, Elon is averaging 70.8 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Phoenix are averaging 10.3 three-pointers per game on 36.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Elon has been led by Tyler Seibring (16.3 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 2.8 apg), Steve Santa Ana (12.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.0 apg), Sheldon Eberhardt (9.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 6.0 apg), and Dainan Swoope (9.0 ppg, 1.3 rpg, 2.3 apg).

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Defensively, Elon is allowing their opponents to average 78.8 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Phoenix have a rebound margin of -5.0 and a turnover margin of -4.8.

The Pacific Tigers dropped to 4-3 on the season after being defeated by the Abilene Christian Wildcats, 73-71, on Friday night. Pacific fought back from a 67-56 deficit with under five minutes left in regulation to tie the game at 71-all with under a minute left, however, the Wildcats were able to secure the victory with a Jaylen Franklin game-winning jumper as time expired. Pacific shot just 23.1% from the beyond the arc, while allowing Abilene Christian to shoot 50.0% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was Roberto Gallinat who had 21 points and 4 rebounds.

Going into their game agianst the Wildcats, Pacific was allowing their opponents to an average of 75.5 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field. The Tigers were averaging 7.0 three-pointers per game on 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Pacific has been led by Roberto Gallinat (12.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg), Anthony Townes (12.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg), Lafayette Dorsey (10.8 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Jahlil Tripp (9.8 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 4.2 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Pacific was allowing their opponents to average 73.3 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Tigers had a rebound margin of 7.7 and a turnover margin of -3.5.

The Phoenix are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games however, just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Tigers are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 Saturday games and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Elon has some solid experience back this season, but the issues that plagued the Phoenix last season (defense and rebounding) look like a trouble area again for Elon as they currently rank 292nd in scoring defense and T-302nd in rebound margin. Pacific is at best an average team, however, they had a decent backcourt and have been great on the boards this season, as they rank T-52nd in rebound margin. Pacific is much better team at home and as I just don’t think Elon is very good on either side of the court, I’m initially leaning on taking the Tigers as I think they’ll be at worst a mid-range favorite when the line is released. Please check back later when the line is released.

Update (10:02 AM) - This spread is a bit higher than expect, but I still like Pacific as I think the Tigers will win this one by about 10. Good Luck!

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Pacific Tigers -8.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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