Denver vs. Fairfield - 11/25/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver vs. Fairfield - 11/25/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Fairfield Stags (1-4) at Denver Pioneers (1-3)

College Basketball: Sunday, November 25, 2018 at 3:00 pm (KeyArena)

The Line: Denver Pioneers -3.5 -- Over/Under: 135.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Fairfield Stags and Denver Pioneers will face this Sunday afternoon in the Elgin Baylor Classic at the Redhawk Center.

The Fairfield Stags lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 1-5 on the season after being defeated by the Seattle Redhawks, 83-80, on Saturday night. Fairfield struggled from the defensive end throughout the game and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 76-69 margin with 3:17 left in regulation. Fairfield allowed Seattle to shoot 53.3% from the field and 60.0% from beyond the arc while also being outrebounded by the Redhawks by a 42-23 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Stags was Neftali Alvarez who had 16 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists.

Coming into their game against Seattle, Fairfield was averaging 68.4 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field. The Stags are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 37.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Fairfield has been led by Landon Taliaferro (16.8 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.4 apg), Neftali Alvarez (15.0 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.6 apg, 2.0 spg), Jonathan Kasibabu (10.2 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.2 spg, 1.0 bpg), and Jesus Cruz (8.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.0 spg).

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Defensively, Fairfield was allowing their opponents to average 76.6 ppg on 47.7% shooting from the field. The Stags had a rebound margin of -11.0 and a turnover margin of 2.6.

The Denver Pioneers snapped their 3-game losing steak and improved to 2-3 on the season after defeating the Longwood Lancers, 64-62, on Saturday afternoon. Denver was solid on the offensively end agianst the Lancers and held on for the victory after taking a 56-46 lead with 3:48 left in regulation. Denver shot 49.0% from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for Pioneers was Ronnie Harrell Jr. who had 23 points, 6 assists, 2 rebounds, and an assist.

Coming into their game against Longwood, Denver was averaging 60.8 ppg on 41.0% shooting from the field. The Pioneers were averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 39.5% shooting from the field. The Pioneers have been led by Joe Rosga (12.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.3 spg), Ronnie Harrell Jr. (12.0 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.0 bpg), Jase Townsend (8.8 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.0 apg), and Ade Murkey (7.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.0 apg).

Defensively, Denver was holding their opponents to an average of 65.8 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Pioneers had a rebound margin of -1.0 and a turnover margin of -3.3.

The Stags are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games however, just 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 neutral site games. The Pioneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.

Fairfield made a surprise run to the MAAC Championship game last season however, it’s going to be hard for the Stags to repeat that success after losing one of the best scorers in program history in Tyler Nelson. Fairfield ahs struggled on both ends of the court to start the season as they entered their game against Seattle ranked just 294th in scoring offense, 275th in scoring defense, and 17th in defensive FG%. Denver has some solid players in Joe Rosga & Ronnie Harrell Jr. and although they can struggle offensively, they entered their game against Longwood ranked 78th in scoring defense and 84th in defensive FG%. This game has yet to be lined, however, between the fact that Denver should be able to control the glass and have some success agianst the Stags struggling defense, I’m initially leaning on taking Denver to cover what I believe will be about a 5-7 point spread.

Update (10:23 AM) - Hi Everyone! This spread isn't as high as I expected, so I'm sticking with my initial thouhgts of taking Denver to cover! Good Luck! 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Denver Pioneers -3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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