Fresno State vs. Pacific - 11/28/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pacific Tigers (5-3) at Fresno State Bulldogs (3-2)
College Basketball: Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 10:00 pm (Save Mart Center)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -8.5 -- Over/Under: 140 See the Latest Odds
TV: Mountain West Network
The Pacific Tigers will travel to the Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The Pacific Tigers improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Elon Phoenix, 65-57, this past Saturday night in the Thanksgiving Classic. Pacific was outstanding on the defensive end agianst the Phoenix and had no trouble securing the victory after a 14-2 Tigers run gave Pacific a 52-35 lead with 8:29 left in regulation. Pacific held Elon to just 36.0% shooting from the field and forced the Phoenix into committing 24 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Tigers was Lafayette Dorsey who had 19 points & 4 rebounds in 28 minutes from off the bench.
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On the season, Pacific is averaging 73.6 ppg on 46.0% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Pacific has been led by Roberto Gallinat (14.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg), Lafayette Dorsey (12.1 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.1 apg), Anthony Townes (10.9 ppg, 5.1 rpg), and Jahlil Tripp (10.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 spg).
Defensively, Pacific is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 5.3 and a turnover margin of -1.6.
The Fresno State Bulldogs improved to 3-2 on the season after defeating the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 79-64, this past Sunday to finished in third in the Wooden Legacy. Fresno State had no problems finding ways to score agianst the Hawaii defense and pulled away after a 9-0 run gave the Bulldogs a 59-43 lead with 11:04 left in regulation. Fresno State shot 52.0% from the field and 55.0% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Deshon Taylor who had 20 points, 2 rebounds, and 5 assits.
On the season, Fresno State is averaging 78.6 ppg on 46.2% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 10.4 three-pointers per game on 41.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Fresno State has been led by Braxton Higgins (19.8 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.8 apg), Deshon Taylor (16.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.8 spg), New Williams (13.0 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.6 spg), and Nate Grimes (8.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.5 bpg).
Defensively, Fresno State is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 ppg on 41.4% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 2.8 and a turnover margin of 0.2.
The Tigers are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 non-conference games and just 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Mountain West opponents. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 28-7 ATS in their last 35 games following an ATS win.
Pacific is a decent WCC team that can give teams trouble when they are at home, but the Tigers really don’t excel in any aspect of the game as they currently come into this matchup ranked 209th in scoring offense & 171st in scoring defense. Fresno State has a great duo in Higgins and Taylor and has looked impressive this season as their only two losses have come in close games agianst two solid programs in TCU and Miami. Fresno State should have the advantage on both ends of the court in this one and as the Bulldogs should be able to do plenty of damage behind the arc as they rank 27th in three-pointers made and 26th in 3P-FG%, I’m taking Fresno State to cover this home spread.