Utah State vs. Northern Iowa - 11/28/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northern Iowa Panthers (3-3) at Utah State Aggies (5-1)
College Basketball: Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Dee Glen Smith Spectrum)
The Line: Utah State Aggies -8 -- Over/Under: 140 See the Latest Odds
TV: Mountain West Network
The Northern Iowa Panthers will travel to the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to take on the Utah State Aggies this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The Northern Iowa Panthers had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 3-3 on the season after being defeated by the Old Dominion Monarchs, 72-65, this past Friday. Old Dominion had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 59-47 lead with 6:19 left in regulation and revenged a 54-53 loss to the Panthers earlier in the week to Northern Iowa in a consolation game at the Paradise Jam Tournament. Northern Iowa shot 40.4% from the field and forced just 8 Old Dominion turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Panthers was AJ Green who had 18 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal.
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On the season, Northern Iowa is averaging 73.7 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Panthers are averaging 8.3 three-pointers per game on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Northern Iowa has been led by AJ Green (18.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.7 apg), Wyatt Lohaus (9.5 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Isaiah Brown (9.5 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg), and Luke McDonnell (9.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 apg).
Defensively, Northern Iowa is holding their opponents to an average of 68.8 ppg on 40.3% shooting from the field. The Panthers have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of 0.5.
The Utah State Aggies suffered their first loss of the season, dropping the Aggies to 5-1 on the season, after being defeated by the Arizona State Sun Devils, 87-82, this past Wednesday night in the MGM Main Event. Utah State struggled defensively against the Sun Devils and although they fought hard, couldn’t fight back after Arizona State took a 69-60 lead with 8:41 left in regulation. Utah State allowed Arizona State to shoot 50.0% from both the field and three-point range and loss the turnover battle by a 20-16 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Aggies was Sam Merrill who had 27 points, 5 rebounds, and an assist.
On the season, Utah State is averaging 87.0 ppg on 48.5% shooting from the field. The Aggies are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Utah State has been led by Sam Merrill (22.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 4.2 apg), Dwayne Brown Jr. (11.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.0 apg), Brock Miller (9.5 ppg, 1.5 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Neemias Queta 98.8 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.3 apg).
Defensively, Utah State is holding their opponents to an average of 66.5 ppg on 35.7% shooting from the field. The Aggies have a rebound margin of 14.2 and a turnover margin of -0.5.
The Panthers are 9-22-2 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS loss and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. MVC opponents.
Northern Iowa is no where near the team that we saw a few years ago as the Panthers have little offensive punch and need to rely on their defense, which currently ranks just 128th in scoring defense, to give them a chance to win games. Utah State has looked great under first year head coach Craig Smith, who did an outstanding job at South Dakota over his past four years, and showed that they can be a tough team to beat as they defeated Saint Mary’s by an 80-63 margin while giving Arizona State all they could handle in the MGM Main Event Tournament. Utah State currently ranks 18th in scoring margin & 11th in defensive FG% and as I just don’t see the Panthers being able to put up enough points to keep up with the Aggies, I’m taking Utah State to cover this spread at home.