UC Davis vs. Northern Arizona - 11/29/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UC Davis vs. Northern Arizona - 11/29/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (2-2) at UC Davis Aggies (1-6)

College Basketball: Thursday, November 29, 2018 at 10:00 pm (UC Davis Pavilion)

The Line: UC Davis Aggies -8 -- Over/Under: 136 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will travel to The Pavilion (UC Davis) to take on the UC Davis Aggies this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks dropped to 2-2 on the season after being defeated by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 85-68, on Sunday, November 18th. Northern Arizona struggled defensively agianst Hawaii and couldn’t fight back after a 7-0 Rainbow Warriors run gave Hawaii a 66-50 lead with 6:26 left in regulation. Northern Arizona allowed Hawaii to shoot 55.9% from the field and was outrebounded by the Rainbow Warriors by a 35-22 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Lumberjacks was Carlos Hines who had 18 points, 1 assist, and a steal.

On the season, Northern Arizona is averaging 78.8 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Lumberjacks are averaging 7.0 three-pointers per game on 29.5% shooting from beyond arc. Offensively, Northern Arizona has been led by Carlos Hines (14.8 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.8 spg), Bernie Andre (13.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.3 spg), Ted McCree (12.5 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Davon Bolton (9.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.8 apg).

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Defensively, Northern Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 80.8 ppg on 50.6% shooting from the field. The Lumberjacks have a rebound margin of -1.8 and are averaging 7.0 spg.

The UC Davis Aggies lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 1-6 on the season after being defeated by the Indiana Hoosiers, 76-62, this past Friday night. UC Davis held the lead for the majority of the game in this one, however, their offense struggled down the stretch as the Aggies scored just 8 points in the final 8:33 of regulation which allowed Indiana to get the come from behind victory. UC Davis shot 48.0% from the field however, committed 21 turnovers in the loss.

On the season, UC Davis is averaging 55.7 ppg on 36.8% shooting from the field. The Aggies are averaging 6.3 three-pointers per game on 28.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UC Davis has been led by TJ Shorts II (11.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.9 spg), Siler Schneider (10.1 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 spg), Joe Mooney (7.4 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.1 spg), and Stefan Gonzalez (7.0 ppg, 4.3 rpg).

Defensively, UC Davis is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field. The Aggies have a rebound margin of -3.3 and a turnover margin of -3.6.

The Lumberjacks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss however, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. Big Sky opponents however are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.

UC Davis has had trouble picking up wins early this season as they’ve really struggled on both end of the court as they currently rank 348th in scoring offense, 341st in FG%, and 261st in defensive FG%. Northern Arizona is generally a huge liability on the defensive end however, this is not as much of a concern for me against the Aggies defense and as I think the Lumberjacks will be able to put some points up on the board, I think Northern Arizona does enough with the points to cover.

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Brett’s Pick Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +8

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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