Toledo vs. Middle Tennessee - 12/15/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toledo vs. Middle Tennessee - 12/15/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-7) at Toledo Rockets (9-1)

College Basketball: Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Savage Arena)

The Line: Toledo Rockets -14.5 -- Over/Under: 144 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will travel to Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost their 6th straight game and dropped to 3-7 on the season after being defeated by the Murray State Racers, 64-42, this past Saturday night. Middle Tennessee had no answers on the offensive end for the Murray State defense and couldn’t fight back after they entered halftime trailing by a 35-19 margin. Middle Tennessee shot just 29.2% from the field and 15.4% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Blue Raiders was Jayce Johnson who had 12 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.

On the season, Middle Tennessee is averaging 66.8 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field. The Blue Raiders are averaging 4.5 three-pointers per game on 28.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Middle Tennessee has been led by Antonio Green (18.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.1 apg), Karl Gamble (8.9 ppg, 7.2 rpg), Jayce Johnson (8.9 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.0 spg), and Reggie Scurry (8.7 ppg, 6.1 rpg).

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Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 75.6 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Blue Raiders have a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of -4.9.

The Toledo Rockets won their 7th straight game and improved to 9-1 on the season after defeating the Marshall Thundering Herd, 75-74 in OT, this past Saturday. Toledo allowed Marshall to fight back and force overtime after holding a 20-point lead early in the 2nd half, however, was able to still get the victory after Marreon Jackson hit a game winning jumper with just :03 seconds left in regulation. Toledo won despite shooting just 36.1% from the field and 29.4% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Rockets was Jaelan Sanford who had 20 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, and a block.

On the season, Toledo is averaging 83.0 ppg on 46.7% shooting from the field. The Rockets are averaging 10.4 ppg on 39.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Jaelan Sanford (17.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.2 apg), Nate Navigato (13.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.3 apg), and Willie Jackson (12.1 ppg, 10.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Luke Knapke (10.8 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.9 apg).

Defensively, Toledo is holding their opponents to an average of 67.1 ppg on 40.3% shooting from the field. The Rockets have a rebound margin of 6.3 and a turnover margin of -0.5.

The Blue Raiders are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall however, just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

It’s been an ugly stretch for Middle Tennessee as although they’ve played decent competition during their 6-game losing streak, the Blue Raiders have lost all 6 games by at least double-digits. If the Blue Raiders are going to turn around their season, they’ll need to fix an offense that ranks just 320th in scoring offense and 290th in FG%. Toledo hasn’t played much in competition so far this season, but the victory at Marshall was impressive. The Rockets have been solid on both ends of the court this season as they currently rank 40th in scoring offense and T-73rd in scoring defense. Toledo has been solid against weaker competition this season and as I think Middle Tennessee falls into that category, I’m taking Toledo to cover this large spread at home.

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Brett’s Pick Toledo Rockets -14.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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