Austin Peay vs. Morehead State - 2/27/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
Morehead State Eagles (13-16) at Austin Peay Governors (19-10)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 8:30 pm (Winfield Dunn Center)
The Line: Austin Peay Governors -14.5 -- Over/Under: 142.5
The Morehead State Eagles and the Austin Peay Governors meet in OVC college basketball action from the Winfield Dunn Center on Thursday night.
The Morehead State Eagles will try to escape a logjam in the middle of the OVC, sitting at 7-9 in conference play after a 66-63 win over Tennessee State last time out. Jordan Walker leads the Eagles in scoring with 12.4 PPG while Djimon Henson is 2nd in scoring with 10.7 PPG this season. Justin Thomas has a team-high 4.4 APG and Tyzhaun Claude leads Morehead State in rebounding with 6.3 RPG this season. As a team, Morehead State is averaging 69.2 points on 43.6% shooting from the field, 29.6% from 3-point range and 63.7% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 69.6 points on 42.7% shooting from the field and 32.2% from 3-point range this season. Morehead State is 2-12 straight up and 6-8 against the spread on the road this season.
The Austin Peay Governors will try to keep pace at the top of the OVC mountain, sitting at 13-3 in conference play after an 83-80 loss to Eastern Illinois last time out. Terry Taylor leads Austin Peay in scoring and rebounding by averaging a double-double per game with 21.9 PPG and 10.8 RPG while Jordyn Adams is 2nd in scoring with 17.6 PPG and Carlos Paez has a team-high 3.8 APG this season. As a team, Austin Peay is averaging 77.7 points on 46.2% shooting from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range and 73.3% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 72 points on 47% shooting from the floor and 36.9% from 3-point range this season. Austin Peay is 13-0 straight up and 8-2-1 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
This feels like a lot of points to be giving up, but the fact is that Morehead State just hasn’t been able to step up against the better teams in the OVC this season, losing at Murray State just a couple of weeks ago by 28 points as well as a pair of losses to Belmont by a combined 31 points. Austin Peay is averaging 85.5 points per game at home this season while Morehead State is putting up just 60.2 points per game on the road. I think this game ends up being a blowout in the Governors’ favor, so I’ll lay the points with Austin Peay here.