Cal Poly vs. UC Irvine - 2/27/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cal Poly vs. UC Irvine - 2/27/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

UC Irvine Anteaters (19-10) at Cal Poly Mustangs (7-20)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 11:00 pm (Robert A. Mott Gym)

The Line: Cal Poly Mustangs +11.5 -- Over/Under:

TV: ESPNU

The UC Irvine Anteaters and Cal Poly Mustangs meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Mott Athletics Center.

The UC Irvine Anteaters look to stay hot after winning 11 of their last 13 games. The UC Irvine Anteaters are averaging 74 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 64.9 points on 38.2 percent shooting. Collin Welp is averaging 13.5 points and six rebounds while Evan Leonard is averaging 12.3 points and 2.1 assists. Eyassu Worku is the third double-digit scorer and Tommy Rutherford is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The UC Irvine Anteaters are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The UC Irvine Anteaters are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game. The UC Irvine Anteaters have won five of their last seven road games.

The Cal Poly Mustangs need a win after losing eight of their last 11 games. The Cal Poly Mustangs are averaging 67.1 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 74.7 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Junior Ballard is averaging 12.8 points and 3.6 rebounds while Colby Rogers is averaging nine points and 2.6 rebounds. Tuukka Jaakkola is dishing 0.8 assists and Malek Harwell is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Cal Poly Mustangs are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free throw line. The Cal Poly Mustangs are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.3 rebounds per game. The Cal Poly Mustangs have won four of their last six home games.

The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The favorite is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

The Cal Poly Mustangs only lost by seven points when these teams met last month, and they were 16-point underdogs in that game. The UC Irvine Anteaters are obviously the much better team and should roll in this contest, but they're also just 7-8 against the spread on the road and are a rough 1-5-1 against the spread as a double-digit favorite. I'm going to take my chances in this game and side with the free points and the Cal Poly Mustangs at home.

Randy’s Pick Cal Poly Mustangs +11.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.