UT-Arlington vs. Texas State - 2/28/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports
Texas State Bobcats (19-10) at UT-Arlington Mavericks (13-16)
College Basketball: Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:00 pm (College Park Center)
The Line: UT-Arlington Mavericks -1 -- Over/Under: 133.5
The Texas State Bobcats and the UT-Arlington Mavericks meet in Sun Belt conference college basketball action from the College Park Center on Friday night.
The Texas State Bobcats will try to keep pace near the top of the Sun Belt standings, sitting at 12-6 in conference play after a 4th straight win in the form of an 86-76 win over Georgia State last time out. Nijal Pearson is the lone double-digit scorer for Texas State, averaging 19.5 PPG while Mason Harrell has 9.3 PPG and Isiah Small has a team-high 6.5 RPG this season. Marlin Davis leads the Bobcats in assists with 3.7 APG this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 72.9 points on 45.7% shooting from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range and 76.2% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 63.7 points on 40.4% shooting from the field and 32.7% from 3-point range this season. Texas State is 5-7 straight up and 5-7 against the spread on the road this season.
The UT-Arlington Mavericks will try to climb up a spot in the Sun Belt table, sitting at 9-9 in conference play after an 81-61 loss to Georgia Southern last time out. David Azore leads UT-Arlington in scoring and assists with 14 PPG and 3.7 APG while Brian Warren is 2nd in scoring with 12.7 PPG and Jabari Narcis has a team-high 6.7 RPG this season. As a team, UT-Arlington is averaging 70.1 points on 41.4% shooting from the field, 30.9% from 3-point range and 75.7% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 68.1 points on 41.3% shooting from the field and 30.2% from 3-point range this season. UT-Arlington is 8-6 straight up and 6-6 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
I considered laying the point with Arlington at home, but even though the Mavericks have been the better team at home than Texas State has been on the road, the Bobcats have simply been winning games more often than UT-Arlington has, and the Bobcats are catching fire at the right time down the stretch. The Bobcats also have a chance to catch Little Rock at the top of the Sun Belt standings with some help, so I’ll take a shot with Texas State and the free point here.