Alabama vs. South Carolina - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports
South Carolina Gamecocks (17-11) at Alabama Crimson Tide (15-13)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 8:30 pm (Coleman Coliseum)
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -5 -- Over/Under: 159
TV: SEC Network
The South Carolina Gamecocks and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet in SEC college basketball action from Coleman Coliseum on Saturday night.
The South Carolina Gamecocks will try to climb into the top four of the SEC standings, sitting at 9-6 in conference play after a 94-90 win over Georgia last time out. A.J. Lawson leads South Carolina in scoring with 13.5 PPG while Jermaine Couisnard is 2nd in scoring and tops in assists with 12.2 PPG and 2.9 APG. Maik Kotsar also has 11.1 PPG and a team-high 6.6 RPG this season. As a team, South Carolina is averaging 72.6 points on 43.8% shooting from the field, 31.2% from 3-point range and 61.8% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 68.3 points on 39% shooting from the field and 29.4% from 3-point range this season. South Carolina is 6-4 straight up and 8-2 against the spread on the road this season.
The Alabama Crimson Tide will look to get out of the middle of the pack in the SEC, sitting at 7-8 in conference play after an 80-73 loss to Mississippi State last time out. Kira Lewis Jr. leads the Tide in scoring and assists with 17.9 PPG and 5.1 APG while John Petty Jr. is 2nd in scoring and tops in rebounding with 15 PPG and 6.6 RPG this season. Jaden Shackelford also has 14.9 PPG for Alabama this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 83 points on 44.1% shooting from the field, 35.4% from 3-point range and 69.2% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 78.8 points on 42% shooting from the field and 30.3% from 3-point range this season. Alabama is 9-4 straight up and 8-5 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the underdog is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.
I get Alabama being favored at home, but the issue I have is that the Tide aren’t the same covering machine that they were when conference play was first getting started and for the next couple of weeks after that. The Tide have been inconsistent and it’s showing in their record, sitting at 7-8 in conference play. South Carolina’s had their own issues, but the Gamecocks have played extremely well on the road, covering in 8 of their 10 road games while also going 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. I’m not sure if South Carolina wins it outright, but this is a game that I can see finishing within 3 points either way, so I’ll take a shot with South Carolina and the points here.