Missouri vs. Mississippi State - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-10) at Missouri Tigers (14-14)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 3:30 pm (Mizzou Arena)
The Line: Missouri Tigers PK -- Over/Under: 136
TV: SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Missouri Tigers meet in SEC college hoops action from the Mizzou Arena on Saturday afternoon.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will try to join the fray in the top-4 of the SEC standings, sitting at 9-6 in conference play after an 80-73 win over Alabama last time out. Reggie Perry leads Mississippi State in scoring and rebounding with 17.4 PPG and 9.9 RPG while Tyson Carter is 2nd in scoring and tops in assists with 13.7 PPG and 3.2 APG this season. Nick Weatherspoon has 11.8 PPG in 18 games and Robert Woodard II has 11.5 PPG this season. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 73.9 points on 46.9% shooting from the field, 33.9% from 3-point range and 75.4% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 68.6 points on 42.8% shooting from the field and 32% from 3-point range this season. Mississippi State is 3-6 straight up and 5-4 against the spread on the road this season.
The Missouri Tigers will try to climb into the middle of the pack in the SEC standings, sitting at 6-9 in conference play after a 61-52 win over Vanderbilt last time out. Dru Smith leads the Tigers in scoring and assists with 12.5 PPG and 3.9 APG while Xavier Pinson is 2nd in scoring with 10.7 PPG and Mark Smith has 10.6 PPG this season. Mitchell Smith leads Mizzou in rebounding with 5 RPG this season. As a team, Missouri is averaging 67.2 points on 41.3% shooting from the field, 30.4% from 3-point range and 77.5% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 65.3 points on 40.6% shooting from the field and 29% from 3-point range this season. Missouri is 11-3 straight up and 9-5 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Part of me considered Mississippi State as they’re the better team record-wise and I haven’t been as concerned with Mississippi State scoring as I have been Missouri, but the Bulldogs on the road have been iffy at best and surprisingly enough, Missouri has won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 home games and are 5-2 SU at home in conference play this season. Missouri is just one of those teams that does their best work at home and in a pick ‘em, I’ll take my chances with Missouri on home soil here.