Virginia vs. Duke - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Duke Blue Devils (23-5) at Virginia Cavaliers (20-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 6:00 pm (John Paul Jones Arena)
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers +2 -- Over/Under: 125
The Duke Blue Devils and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in college basketball action from John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday.
Duke comes in here at 23-5 overall. Over the last four games, Duke is 2-2, beating Notre Dame and Virginia Tech while otherwise falling to North Carolina State and Wake Forest.
In the 2OT loss to the Demon Deacons, Duke’s lead scorer was Wendell Moore with 25 points, five rebounds and three assists. Tre Jones added 24 points, nine assists and seven rebounds there, and Cassius Stanley chipped in 14 points, four rebounds and one assist.
Over on the Virginia side, they’re 20-7 on the year. It’s been a winning streak in Virginia’s last five, as they’ve taken out Notre Dame, North Carolina, Boston College, Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech in succession.
In the win over Virginia Tech, Virginia’s Mamadi Duke was the top scorer with 19 points and six rebounds. Braxton Key put up a double-double there on 10 points, 11 rebounds and two assists, and Kihei Clark had 10 points, six rebounds and six assists.
Virginia is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four overall and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. Virginia is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four after a straight-up win and the over is 5-0 in their last five Saturday games.
Meanwhile, Duke is 5-2 ATS in their last seven Saturday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after an ATS loss. Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last four road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall.
All of a sudden, Duke isn’t impenetrable anymore, and they’ve lost two of their last three games. The NC State one was pretty bad (88-66) but the Wake Forest 2OT loss stings a little more since Duke had their chances to put it away but couldn’t.
In any case, Virginia has found some new life and they’re back to their old tricks of methodical defensive play. I feel like Duke may take a little while here to regain their bearings after that tough loss, but in the end I think they’ll get it done. Give me Duke.