Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports
Northern Illinois Huskies (17-11) at Western Michigan Broncos (11-17)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:30 pm (University Arena in Read Fieldhouse)
The Line: Western Michigan Broncos +1 -- Over/Under: 129.5
The Northern Illinois Huskies and the Western Michigan Broncos meet in college basketball MAC-tion from the WMU University Arena on Saturday afternoon.
The Northern Illinois Huskies will try to keep pace sitting atop the MAC West division, sitting at 10-5 in conference play after a 73-71 win over Eastern Michigan last time out. Eugene German leads NIU as the lone double-digit scorer with 20.4 PPG and 2.7 APG while Lacey James is averaging 8.9 PPG and a team-high 7.8 RPG for the Huskies this season. As a team, Northern Illinois is averaging 67 points on 41.4% shooting from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range and 67.6% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 64.3 points on 39.9% shooting from the field and 29.6% from 3-point range this season. Northern Illinois is 7-8 straight up and 9-6 against the spread on the road this season.
The Western Michigan Broncos will look for a confidence win to escape the basement of the MAC, sitting at 4-11 in conference play after a 5th straight loss by a final score of 71-61 at the hands of Ball State last time out. Michael Flowers leads WMU in scoring and assists with 16 PPG and 3.2 APG while Brandon Johnson is 2nd in scoring and tops in rebounding with 14.9 PPG and 8 RPG this season. As a team, Western Michigan is averaging 69.2 points on 42.5% shooting from the field, 33.1% from 3-point range and 71.9% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 72.2 points on 43.5% shooting from the field and 32.8% from 3-point range this season. Western Michigan is 8-5 straight up and 6-4-1 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
This line feels suspiciously low, but if it’s a trap, I’m biting. Western Michigan has been decent at home, but the Huskies have been one of the best teams in the MAC this season, and have not only held their own on the road, but they’re also playing miles better than Western Michigan coming into this one, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games while Western Michigan is 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS in their last 9. I’ll side with Northern Illinois on the road here.