Fresno State vs. Air Force - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
Air Force Falcons (11-19) at Fresno State Bulldogs (11-18)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 3:00 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 -- Over/Under: 141.5
The Air Force Falcons and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Wednesday in the college basketball MWC Tournament at the Thomas & Mack Center.
The Air Force Falcons need a win after losing 10 of their last 12 games. The Air Force Falcons are averaging 73.4 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 74.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Lavelle Scottie is averaging 15.8 points and 2.1 assists while Ryan Swan is averaging 12.7 points and 5.2 rebounds. A.J. Walker is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Morris is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Air Force Falcons are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Air Force Falcons are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game. The Air Force Falcons have lost eight straight non-home games.
The Fresno State Bulldogs look for a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 69.1 points on 41.8 percent shooting and allowing 68.7 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Orlando Robinson is averaging 12.5 points and 6.6 rebounds while New Williams is averaging 11.5 points and 2.9 rebounds. Nate Grimes is the third double-digit scorer and Jarred Hyder is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Fresno State Bulldogs are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 70 percent from the free throw line. The Fresno State Bulldogs are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game. The Fresno State Bulldogs have split their last six non-home games.
The underdog is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
The Air Force Falcons have not only lost 10 of their last 12 games, but they're 10-19 against the spread on the season, so you're not getting much betting value despite them often being in the underdog role. The Fresno State Bulldogs are 11-16-1 against the spread on the season, but they've won both games against Air Force and won those games by an average of 10 points. Beating the same team three times in a year is difficult, but the Air Force Falcons have shown zero progress from year to year. I'll lay the chalk with Fresno.