Miami vs. Virginia - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Virginia Cavaliers (21-7) at Miami Hurricanes (14-14)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 9:00 pm (Watsco Center)
The Line: Miami Hurricanes +2 -- Over/Under: 118
TV: ACC Network
The Virginia Cavaliers and the Miami Hurricanes meet in ACC college hoops from the Watsco Center on Wednesday night.
The Virginia Cavaliers will try to join the fray at the top of the mountain in the ACC, sitting in 4th at 13-5 in conference play after a 6th straight win in the form of a 52-50 win over Duke last time out. Mamadi Diakite leads Virginia in scoring with 13.6 PPG as well as logging 6.6 RPG. Kihei Clark is 2nd with 10.7 PPG and a team-high 6 APG and Braxton Key has 10.2 PPG and 7.4 RPG this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 57.4 points on 41.5% shooting from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range and 71.4% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 52.6 points on 36.9% shooting from the field and 29.2% from 3-point range this season. Virginia is 6-4 straight up and 5-4-1 against the spread on the road this season.
The Miami Hurricanes will look to escape a logjam near the bottom of the ACC, sitting at 6-12 in conference play with a 63-57 loss to Georgia Tech last time out. Chris Lykes leads the Hurricanes with 15.2 PPG and 2.5 APG this season while Dejan Vasiljevic has 13.2 PPG and Kameron McGusty has 13 PPG for the ‘Canes this season. Sam Waardenburg also leads the Hurricanes in rebounding with 5.9 RPG this season. As a team, Miami is averaging 72.5 points on 43.6% shooting from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range and 75.5% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 74.6 points on 44.7% shooting from the field and 34.6% from 3-point range this season. Miami is 8-4 straight up and 8-4 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
I get that the Hurricanes and the free bucket at home could be worth a look, but Virginia is rolling along right now with wins in 9 of their last 10 games, and how many times has that Cavalier defense proven to be an equalizer for Virginia. Even at home where they’ve played fairly well, I just don’t see Miami having an answer for that Virginia defense. I’ll lay the bucket with the Cavaliers on the road here.