Valparaiso vs. Evansville - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Evansville Aces (9-22) at Valparaiso Crusaders (16-15)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 9:30 pm (Enterprise Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -6.5 -- Over/Under: 140.5
TV: MVC TV
The Evansville Purple Aces and the Valparaiso Crusaders meet in college basketball action from Scottrade Center on Thursday.
Evansville enters this Missouri Valley Tournament matchup at 9-22 overall. Evansville is on a pretty ugly 18-game losing streak right now, falling to Indiana State, Northern Iowa and Illinois State in their last three.
In the loss to Illinois State, Evansville’s KJ Riley led the way on 18 points, eight rebounds and four assists. both Evan Kuhlman and Sam Culiffe added 10 points with three rebounds apiece there, combining for nine rebounds as well.
Over on the Valparaiso side, they’re 16-15 this year. After notching consecutive wins over Bradley and Missouri State, Valparaiso fell in their last game on Saturday to Indiana State.
In the loss to Indiana State, Valparaiso’s top scorers were Donovan Clay and Daniel Sackey with 11 points apiece, and a combined five assists and nine rebounds. Ryan Fazekas put up 10 points, three rebounds and two assists there as well.
Valparaiso is 1-6 ATS in the last seven Thursday games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after an ATS loss. Valparaiso is 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall and the over is 7-3 in their last 10 after an ATS loss.
Meanwhile, Evansville is 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 after an ATS loss and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four overall. Evansville is 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral-site games and the under is 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
Evansville has put up a few close calls here and there during their (long) losing streak, but for the most part they haven’t been looking good at all. Still, the last time these teams met up on January 26, Evansville posted a 67-65 road loss and was competitive there.
As for Valparaiso, they were on a three-game streak with 75 or more points in each game but hit the wall versus Indiana State with just 58 points. All things considered however, Valparaiso is probably the safer pick here. There doesn't seem like much room to play with on the line however, so if it thickens up much more I might reconsider.