Indiana State vs. Missouri State - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indiana State vs. Missouri State - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Missouri State Bears (15-16) at Indiana State Sycamores (18-11)

College Basketball: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 9:30 pm (Enterprise Center)

The Line: Indiana State Sycamores +1 -- Over/Under: 135.5

TV: FS-Midwest, ESPN+

The Indiana State Sycamores and the Missouri State Bears meet in a Missouri Valley Conference quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the Enterprise Center on Friday night.

The Missouri State Bears enter the conference tournament as the #6-seed after finishing the year with a 9-9 conference record as part of their 15-16 overall record, winning the #6-seed and a first round bye on a tiebreaker with Valparaiso. Keandre Cook leads Missouri State in scoring and rebounding with 14.6 PPG and 4.6 RPG while Gaige Prim has 13.6 PPG and 4.8 RPG. Tulio Da Silva also has 9.8 PPG and a team-high 7 RPG this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 70 points on 43.5% shooting from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range and 74.5% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 67.7 points on 43.2% shooting from the field and 34% from 3-point range this season.

The Indiana State Sycamores come into the conference tournament as the #3 seed, sitting at 11-7 in conference play as part of their 18-11 overall record this season, winning out with the 3rd spot in a tiebreaker with Bradley. Tyreke Key leads Indiana State in scoring with 15.8 PPG while Jordan Barnes is 2nd in scoring and tops in assists with 12.7 PPG and 3.7 APG and Jake Laravia has 9.3 PPG and a team-high 6.8 RPG this season. As a team, Indiana State is averaging 69 points on 45.6% shooting from the field, 38.3% from 3-point range and 71.5% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 66.4 points on 44.5% shooting from the field and 31.9% from 3-point range this season.

Head-to-head, the underdog is 22-3-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two teams.

It’s not often that you get the lower seed as a favorite, but it’s a bit easier to make a case for the Bears here. The two sides were pretty much even down the stretch, and the MVC tournament is in Missouri, and the Bears already beat the Sycamores at home by 13 earlier this season. Indiana State is a good team and I expect the Sycamores to compete, but the Bears were so strong ATS down the stretch that I feel you have to lay the point with Missouri State in what’s almost a home game for the Bears here.

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Chris’s Pick Missouri State -1

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.