Missouri State vs. Valparaiso - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Valparaiso Crusaders (18-15) at Missouri State Bears (16-16)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Enterprise Center)

The Line: Missouri State Bears -3.5 -- Over/Under:

TV: CBS Sports Network

The Valparaiso Crusaders and Missouri State Bears meet Saturday in the college basketball MVC Tournament at the Enterprise Center.

The Valparaiso Crusaders look for another win after beating Loyola Chicago on Friday. The Valparaiso Crusaders are averaging 72.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 71.1 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Javon Freeman-Liberty is averaging 19.3 points and six rebounds while Ryan Fazekas is averaging 10.7 points and 0.4 assists. Donovan Clay is dishing 1.4 assists and Mileek McMillan is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Valparaiso Crusaders are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The Valparaiso Crusaders are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game. The Valparaiso Crusaders have split their last six non-home games.

The Missouri State Bears look for another win after beating Indiana State on Friday. The Missouri State Bears are averaging 70 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 67.7 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Keandre Cook is averaging 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds while Gaige Prim is averaging 13.5 points and 4.8 rebounds. Tulio Da Silva is dishing one assist and Lamont West is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Missouri State Bears are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Missouri State Bears are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game. The Missouri State Bears have lost five of their last seven non-home games.

The Crusaders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 20-8 in Crusaders last 28 games following a ATS win. The over is 10-2 in Bears last 12 overall.

These teams are a combined 39-22-3 against the spread this season, so you feel like you're in good hands no matter which side you're on. The difference for me is that we're getting free points with a Valparaiso Crusaders club that dominated Missouri State just a couple of weeks ago, scoring 89 points on 59 percent shooting and cruising to a 15-point win as a one-point favorite. I'll take my chances with Valpo in the udnerdog role.

Randy’s Pick Valparaiso Crusaders +3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.